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    NFL DFS Value Plays - Week 8

    By Mark Dankenbring
    DFS Football Value Plays – Week 8

    With Week 8 of the NFL season upon us, let's take a look at who sets up to have the most value based on their salary in daily fantasy for DraftKings and FanDuel. With injuries opening up expanded roles for certain players, and favorable matchups determined after seven weeks of action, we have a solid list of value plays this week. Value plays are centered around players who are below the average salary cost for their position and will produce the most points per dollar spent. Below are a list of some highlighted players on both platforms, but to see a full ranking of players and their value this week, visit our Optimizer tool for full control over your lineup.

    Each player is listed with their salary and projected points for the week.



    Winston starts off our value play list this week with a cushy matchup against the Raiders. Jameis had a good start last week coming off of the Buccaneers bye, throwing for 269 yards and three touchdowns in San Francisco. This week, he heads home to face a Raiders defense that has given up the fourth most DraftKings points to opposing QBs this season. The Raiders have faced two NFC South opponents in the Falcons and Saints this year, allowing them to throw for 819 yards and seven touchdowns. Winston hopes to keep that trend alive this weekend and exploit the Raiders' secondary. He lines up as a great value play this week with his second cheapest salary of the season.

    After a rude homecoming in Denver, Osweiler couldn't be happier to see the league's worst secondary in Detroit on the schedule for this week. Osweiler had a career-worst 131 yards passing last week, and will try to bounce back against a Lions team who has allowed 300 yards passing in four of their seven games, and has allowed the most DraftKings points to opposing quarterbacks this year. This sets up well for Osweiler, who has yet to throw for 300 yards this season. With a healthy Will Fuller and DeAndre Hopkins needing a bounce back week, look for Brock to spread the ball around and give us a glimpse as to why he's worth $72-million.

    Running Backs

    With C.J. Anderson listed as doubtful for this Sunday, Devontae Booker is in line to get the start against a susceptible Chargers defense. In his first game receiving over 10 carries, Booker ran 17 times for 83 yards and a score, showing he's more than capable to handle a bigger workload. Booker has been successful all year handling the rock, as he's averaged 4.8 yards a carry and has also caught nine passes for 77 yards. He'll square off against a Chargers defense that has allowed the third most points to opposing running backs on DraftKings this season, and who he averaged 9.2 yards per carry against just two weeks ago. Look for Booker to have a great week filling in for Anderson, and for him to be a top five play at running back this weekend.

    As LeSean McCoy enters another weekend with a questionable hamstring, Gillislee is preparing to get a full workload against the Patriots this Sunday. The matchup isn't great against a New England team that hasn't allowed a rushing score since Week 2, but Gillislee has had success when he's touched the ball this year. In just 22 attempts, Gillislee has averaged 6.2 yards per carry, and has found his way into the end zone twice, including a 44-yarder against the 49ers. The numbers show that Gillislee just needs a full workload to be a productive fantasy back, so if McCoy is sidelined this weekend, Gillislee makes another great value option at the running back position.

    Wide Receivers

    With the Bills looking at a depleted receiving corps this weekend, Hunter is in line to get several targets from Tyrod Taylor. Even though Hunter hasn't seen many snaps this season, he was able to turn his one catch into a score in Weeks 5 and 6. Hunter didn't see any action in the Bills first game against the Patriots, but will likely see over 50 snaps as the number two WR behind Robert Woods. With a Patriots' offense looking for revenge after the Bills shut them out in Foxborough in Week 4, I expect the Bills to have to throw plenty on Sunday, with several of those going Hunter's way.

    Lee has been the most productive wide receiver by far for the Jaguars over the past few weeks. Last week alone, Lee hauled in seven of his eight targets for 107 yards, good enough to nearly double the output of the Allen Robinson and Allen Hurns, who combined for six catches for 54 yards. Lee has averaged seven targets per week since Week 2, and will face a Titans defense that has been exposed recently, allowing 60 points over the last two weeks. The Jaguars have the second worst rushing offense through seven weeks, so I expect Bortles to continue to air it this weekend against the Titans.

    Over the last two weeks, Montgomery has been targeted 25 times by Aaron Rodgers, just one behind Randall Cobb for the team high, and also received nine carries last week as well. Montgomery has been a yard machine, accounting for 230 yards of offense the past two weeks. The Packers head into another game without Eddie Lacy or James Starks, so it appears as if Montgomery will likely receive the most snaps at running back once again. Therefore, the matchup gets even better for Montgomery, as the Falcons have allowed the fourth most points to opposing running backs this year, and allowed Melvin Gordon to catch six balls for 53 yards and a score last week out of the backfield. Look for Montgomery to stay heavily involved in the offense this weekend and to hopefully make it into the end zone for the first time this season.

    Tight Ends

    Fiedorowicz enters Sunday's game against the Lions after receiving at least seven targets in his past three games for the Texans. He has become one of Osweiler's most reliable targets, and will likely be once again against a Detroit team that has given up the third most points to opposing tight ends this year. With Osweiler and the Texans trying to bounce back from a tough loss in Denver, I expect them to come out throwing early and often against a very porous secondary in Detroit. Look for Fiedorowicz to have another solid value week at tight end.

    Miller enters Week 8 against a defense in Minnesota that hasn't allowed much fantasy success to anyone this season. However, Miller seems to be the check down option for Jay Cutler, and against a relentless pass rush like the Vikings, Cutler will be required to get rid of the ball quickly. Even though Miller hasn't reached the end zone in three games, he's still been targeted 23 times. Look for Cutler to dump off to Miller several times this Monday night, and for Miller to hopefully squeeze his way into the end zone against a tough Vikings defense.



    *See Explanation Above*

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    Running Backs

    *See Explanation Above*

    Freeman's cheapest salary of the season comes in a week where Tevin Coleman is unlikely to play. Therefore, even with a higher salary of $6,900, Freeman is included in our value plays list this week. Freeman and the Falcons will face a Green Bay team that has allowed the least amount of FanDuel points to opposing RBs this season. This obviously isn't a good stat for Freeman, but Atlanta has had the most prolific offense in football this year. The Falcons lead the league in offense, averaging 433.6 yards per game, and are the only team averaging over 30 points per game, as they sit at 32.7 ppg through seven weeks. With Freeman in line to take a large majority of the snaps in the league's best offense, I like his potential to be the first running back not named Ezekiel Elliott to have a big week against the Packers.

    *See Explanation Above*

    Wide Receivers

    The rookie out of Ohio State has solidified himself as one of Drew Brees's most reliable targets over the past few weeks, and hauled in a team high 10 catches for 130 yards last week against the Chiefs. Thomas has shown great value on FanDuel over the last four weeks, averaging $347 per point. This week, as a value play, Thomas is projected $487 per point. As you can see, Thomas has outperformed his salary in each of the last four weeks, and I expect that to stay the same this weekend against the Seahawks.

    *See Explanation Above*

    Tight Ends

    *See Explanation Above*

    With the injury to Dwayne Allen, Jack Doyle has been able to step in and produce well at the tight end position for Andrew Luck and the Colts. In his two games receiving the majority of snaps at tight end, Doyle has caught 13 of his 14 targets for 131 yards and two touchdowns. He heads into Week 8 against a Kansas City defense that has been stingy towards tight ends this season, but have allowed 11 catches for 122 yards and a touchdown to opposing tight ends in three games on the road this year. In the pass heavy offense that is the Colts, expect Doyle to still see several looks from Andrew Luck and to potentially reach the end zone for the third straight week.
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