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    NFL DFS Value Plays - Week 15 (12/15/16)

    By Mark Dankenbring
    DFS Football Value Plays – Week 15



    With Week 15 of the NFL season upon us, let's take a look at who sets up to have the most value based on their salary in daily fantasy for DraftKings and FanDuel. With injuries opening up expanded roles for certain players, and favorable matchups determined after 14 weeks of action, we have a solid list of value plays this week. Value plays are centered around players who are below the average salary cost for their position and will produce the most points per dollar spent. Below are a list of some highlighted players on both platforms, but to see a full ranking of players and their value this week, visit our Optimizer tool for full control over your lineup.

    Each player is listed with their salary and projected points for the week.

    DraftKings

    Quarterbacks



    Taylor and the Bills will host a winless Browns team in Buffalo on Sunday. The return of Sammy Watkins has made an immediate impact on the Bills offense, specifically Tyrod Taylor, as he threw for over 200 yards last week for the first time since Week 9. Taylor will face a Browns defense that has allowed the second most DraftKings points to opposing quarterbacks this season. The Browns have allowed opposing quarterbacks to throw for at least two touchdowns in 11 of their 13 games, and in all six games on the road. Look for Taylor to have a productive week at home this Sunday.



    After a tough loss last weekend in Miami, Palmer and the Cardinals will face the Saints in Arizona. Palmer had three turnovers in the rain in Miami, so he will be as excited as anyone to take on the Saints in warm and sunny Arizona. The Saints defense has allowed the fourth most passing yards per game to go along with the third most points allowed in the NFL at 27.0 per game. Also, Palmer has fared much better at home this season, averaging 299 passing yards per game to go along with an 11 to 3 touchdown to interception ratio. Therefore, I expect Palmer and the Arizona offense to have a solid outing this Sunday against the Saints.

    Running Backs



    With Matt Forte revealing he has a torn meniscus on Wednesday, his status will be questionable if not doubtful entering the Jets' game on Saturday. Powell showed last week against the 49ers he's a more than capable fill-in, rushing for 145 yards and two touchdowns while adding five catches for 34 yards. Powell has been involved in the passing game all season, but finally got his chance to show what he can do on the ground with a full workload. The Dolphins enter the game on Saturday having allowed the fourth most DraftKings points to opposing running backs in the last three weeks, and in their first game against the Dolphins, the Jets ran for 114 yards and a touchdown. If Forte is ruled out on Saturday, Powell should be a great value play against the Dolphins.



    Dixon seems to have established himself as the number one option in the Baltimore backfield after Monday's game against the Patriots in which he out-snapped Terrance West 42 to 14. Dixon had a relatively solid showing on the ground, carrying the ball 11 times for 39 yards, but his value primarily came from the passing game. Dixon caught eight of 11 targets for 42 yards and a touchdown, brining his DraftKings points total up to 22.1. If Dixon can get anywhere close to the touches he had this past Monday, he should have great value against a Philadelphia team that has allowed a touchdown to an opposing running back in each of their last five games.



    Yeldon enters this weekend as another option contingent on the health of his backfield partner. Chris Ivory enters this weekend questionable after missing the last two games, so if he is out for a third straight, Yeldon could be a great value play. The Jaguars will head to Houston attempting to end their 8-game losing streak and split the season series with the Texans. In their first matchup, Yeldon and Ivory combined for 63 yards rushing and had five catches for 37 yards. These numbers aren't too exciting, but if Yeldon were to be the only active back, that would have added up to 100 total yards of production with five catches. If Ivory is out, look for Yeldon to have a third straight week of double digit DraftKings points.

    Wide Receivers



    At a near minimum salary, Funchess enters Week 15 as one of our top rated value plays at the wide receiver position. After catching a touchdown last week and seeing at least four targets in seven of his last eight games, Funchess will have the opportunity for a solid week against a Redskins defense that allows nearly 260 passing yards per game. Funchess will look to get into the end zone for the fourth time this season, as that's where his main value comes as a fantasy wide receiver. Washington has allowed five touchdowns to opposing wide receivers in their last five games, so look for Funchess to get in the end zone for the second straight week.



    Lee and the Jaguars will face their third straight top five passing defense this weekend in Houston, but Lee was able to pick up his second 100-yard game of the season last week against Minnesota. Lee seems to have taken the WR2 spot over from Allen Hurns, as he has seen at least eight targets in four of his last six games, with the other two games resulting in six targets. The Jaguars have only had one 100-yard rusher this season, so they will have to continue to air the ball out in order to have any sort of offensive success. Therefore, look for Lee to have solid value for the second straight week.



    Garcon enters Week 15 with double digit DraftKings points in five of his last six games. He'll square off against a Carolina defense that has allowed the fifth most DraftKings points to opposing wide receivers this season. Garcon has been the model of consistency this season, having seen at least four targets in every game, and he's caught at least four passes in all but two games this year. The Panthers have struggled all season against the pass, allowing the third most passing yards per game in the NFL, so I expect Garcon and the rest of the Redskins passing attack to have a solid outing this Monday night.

    Tight Ends



    Gresham caught five passes again in Week 14, marking the third straight week he's had at least five catches. Palmer has found something he likes in Gresham over the last few weeks, as he's been targeted 23 times in the last three games. Also, with the release of Michael Floyd, Gresham will likely see more targets this coming Sunday. He will face a Saints defense that has allowed at least four catches to opposing tight ends in their last seven games, so look for Gresham to provide great value this weekend as he possesses the minimum salary for a tight end.



    Derby made a name for himself in Denver last week, not only for fumbling on the final drive of the game, but also for catching all five of his targets for 57 yards. Derby will attempt to redeem himself at home this weekend against his former team in the Patriots and hopefully have a game deciding play in favor of the Broncos. If Tom Brady can find a way to dissect the Denver defense, Trevor Siemian and the offense will likely have to air it out as their running game has been non-existent over the past few weeks. Look for Derby to remain an option in the offense this weekend as he attempts to build on last week's efforts.


    FanDuel

    Quarterbacks



    *See Explanation Above*



    Smith and the Chiefs will look to stay atop the AFC West this weekend at home against the Titans. Smith enters Sunday having thrown for at least 260 yards in three of the last four games, while throwing for a touchdown in each of his last four. He'll square off against a Titans secondary that has allowed the third most FanDuel points to opposing quarterbacks this season. Tennessee allows the second most passing yards per game with 275, and has allowed at least two passing touchdowns in seven of their last eight games. Therefore, Smith should have a solid week at home against the Titans secondary.

    Running Backs



    *See Explanation Above*



    After starting the year with one of the best run defenses, the Packers have allowed opposing running backs to rush for at least 100 yards in four of their last five games. This is good news for Jordan Howard, who has averaged 103 yards on the ground over his last six games and has scored double digit FanDuel points in five of his last six games. He has at least 15 touches in nine of his 10 games started this season, so the looks will be there at home this weekend. Therefore, I expect Howard to have another solid week of production against Green Bay.

    Wide Receivers



    Gabriel enters Week 15 after scoring his fourth touchdown in the last four weeks last Sunday against the Rams. The Falcons square off against a 49ers defense that has allowed the fifth most FanDuel points to opposing wide receivers this season. Gabriel has seen at least five targets in the last five games for the Falcons, and will likely see at least that many against a weak 49ers secondary. Once again, Mohamed Sanu and Julio Jones enter the week on the injury report, so if that carries over until Sunday, Gabriel will be a popular target for Matt Ryan. Look for him to have another solid outing against San Francisco.



    *See Explanation Above*



    Inman enters Week 15 having scored a touchdown in his last three games, and will face an Oakland defense that allowed Philip Rivers to throw for 359 yards and four touchdowns in their first meeting. Inman has become much more involved in the passing game since their first matchup, having seen at least five targets in his last seven games. Travis Benjamin has become a non-factor in the passing offense the last few weeks, so Inman has solidified himself as the number two option among wide receivers for the Chargers. Look for him to have another solid game against an Oakland defense that Rivers had no issue with in their first matchup.

    Tight Ends



    *See Explanation Above*



    After a disappointing two-catch effort in Buffalo last week, Green will head to Cincinnati to take on a Bengals team that has allowed the third most FanDuel points to opposing tight ends this season. Green was inactive for the first matchup with the Bengals, but Jesse James caught three of five targets for 29 yards and a touchdown. Green saw six targets in Buffalo last weekend, so he is definitely part of the offensive attack in Pittsburgh. Look for him to have a bounce back week against the Bengals this Sunday.








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