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    NFL DFS Value Plays - Week 10

    By Mark Dankenbring
    DFS Football Value Plays – Week 10

    With Week 10 of the NFL season upon us, let's take a look at who sets up to have the most value based on their salary in daily fantasy for DraftKings and FanDuel. With injuries opening up expanded roles for certain players, and favorable matchups determined after nine weeks of action, we have a solid list of value plays this week. Value plays are centered around players who are below the average salary cost for their position and will produce the most points per dollar spent. Below are a list of some highlighted players on both platforms, but to see a full ranking of players and their value this week, visit our Optimizer tool for full control over your lineup.

    Each player is listed with their salary and projected points for the week.

    DraftKings

    Quarterbacks



    Mariota has found his groove in Tennessee, throwing 13 touchdowns to only three interceptions in his last five games, and is averaging close to 26 DraftKings points per game over that span. Mariota will square off against a Packers defense that has allowed a passing touchdown in every game but one this year (which was the Thursday night game Brian Hoyer left with a broken arm and the Bears had 120 total yards passing). The Titans' secondary has been suspect the past few weeks, allowing teams to throw all over them, so Aaron Rodgers is likely to have a field day putting points on the board. Therefore, Mariota will likely have to throw early and often, lining him up to be a great value play this weekend.



    Cutler and the Bears enter Week 10 against a Buccaneers defense that has allowed 857 yards and 8 touchdowns through the air in the last two games. In his return from a thumb injury, Cutler played well against a much stingier Vikings defense, going 20-31 for 252 yards and a touchdown. Cutler is likely to have his full array of weapons on Sunday as Eddie Royal is expected to play for the first time since Week 6, and all three running backs will be available as well. Look for Cutler to have another solid week under center, as Tampa Bay has allowed the most DraftKings points to opposing quarterbacks over the last three weeks.



    The Monday Night game will feature Manning and the Giants at home against the Cincinnati Bengals. Manning has had a volatile season thus far, throwing for zero or one touchdown in five of his eight games played, with the other three combining for 10 touchdowns. Luckily for Eli, this game occurs at home where he's averaged 344.5 yards passing this season to go along with eight of his 12 touchdown passes. He'll also face a shaky Cincinnati secondary that has allowed the fifth most DraftKings points per game to opposing QBs this season. Therefore, things seem to look promising for his matchup on Monday night, so at a cheap salary of $5,900, Manning is a great value play option at quarterback this weekend.

    Running Backs



    After picking up his second straight start at running back, Sproles played 60 of the 75 snaps at running back against the Giants. As the clear number one back in Philly, Sproles has a solid matchup against the Falcons this weekend. Atlanta has allowed the fifth most DraftKings points to opposing running backs this year, with a solid portion of those points coming from receptions out of the backfield, which Sproles has made a career off of. The 5 foot 6 running back has also had success on the ground as a starter, averaging 5.1 yards per carry in his two starts. In a game that sets up to feature a lot of scoring, look for Sproles to have a productive week both on the ground and through the air.



    Coming into Week 10 at close to the minimum salary for a running back, Perkins seems to be closing the gap between him and starter Rashad Jennings. Both backs received the same amount of touches last week with 11 on the ground and three receptions, with Perkins out-gaining Jennings 47 to 39. These numbers are nothing to brag about for Perkins, but it shows that the Giants are beginning to trust the rookie a little more. Perkins will be facing the Bengals who have been gashed by the run in the last four weeks, allowing 104 rushing yards per game and five rushing touchdowns over that span. With a possible 15+ touches in Perkins future, look for him to provide solid value at a near minimum $3,500.



    Harris' output this weekend depends solely on the health of Carlos Hyde's shoulder. As the starter for the 49ers last week, Harris carried the ball 10 times for 59 yards and caught five passes for 83 yards, including a 47-yard touchdown from Colin Kaepernick. If Harris gets the start this week, he'll face off against a Cardinals defense that allowed Carlos Hyde to rush for 78 yards and a score, as well as catch all six targets out of the backfield in their first matchup. The 49ers defense has allowed 37.1 points per game over the last seven weeks, so the offense will likely be playing from behind once again. Therefore, Harris will likely see a lot of action catching passes out of the backfield and could provide great value for your lineup.

    Wide Receivers



    Coming off of his best week of the season with six catches for 103 yards, Rogers will face a Cowboys secondary that has allowed a touchdown to an opposing wide receiver in all but one game this year. With Sammie Coates primarily being a deep threat and Darrius Heyward-Bey only having receptions in three of eight games this year, Rogers seems to have solidified himself as Big Ben's number two possession receiver behind Antonio Brown. With Dallas' offense rolling and the Steelers looking for a bounce back week, I expect Roethlisberger and the offense to respond well at home this weekend. Therefore, Rogers appears to be a solid value play at wide receiver on Sunday.



    The Chargers will face the Dolphins at home this Sunday, which is good news for Inman and the rest of the receiving corps. In three games on the road this year, the Dolphins have given up an average of 200 receiving yards and a total of four touchdowns to opposing receivers. Inman has seen an expanding role in the offense over the last three weeks, seeing an increase in targets in every game. He also appears to be the healthiest wide out for the Chargers entering Week 10 as Travis Benjamin and Tyrell Williams both missed Wednesday's practice. As Inman continues to see more reps with Philip Rivers in practice, look for the chemistry between the two carry over into Sunday and for Inman to be another solid value play this weekend.



    In Wright's three home games this season, he's caught 14 of his 18 targets for 229 yards and two touchdowns. He'll square off against the Packers secondary on Sunday who have allowed 11 touchdowns to opposing wide receivers this season. As mentioned earlier under Mariota, the Titans will likely have to air it out as Aaron Rodgers is likely to slice up their struggling secondary, so Wright appears to be in line for another solid game at home. Look for Wright to find his way into the end zone and be a solid value play for your lineup this weekend.

    Tight Ends



    Miller is far and away our number one value play at tight end this weekend. Tied for the 12th highest salary, Miller is projected the second most points at tight end this weekend behind Rob Gronkowski. With Cutler's return to quarterback in Week 8, Miller saw 10 targets, hauling in seven of them for 88 yards. He'll face a Buccaneers defense that has allowed 145 yards and three touchdowns over the last two weeks to tight ends. Make sure Miller is in your lineup this weekend as his value is sky high.



    The rookie out of Stanford appears in line to receive his second straight start at tight end with Jacob Tamme missing practice on Wednesday. Hooper will square off against an Eagles defense that has allowed at least 50 yards or a touchdown to opposing tight ends in their last four games. As the starting tight end in the league's number one offense, look for Hooper to receive several targets again this weekend and to hopefully turn one of them into a score.

    FanDuel

    Quarterbacks



    Big Ben comes in at a higher salary than is normal for a value play, but as our projected top-scoring quarterback this week, Roethlisberger does offer great value to your lineup. He'll face off against a Cowboys team in Pittsburgh where Roethlisberger has averaged 313 yards and four touchdowns per game this season. After a poor performance last week that was saved by some garbage time points, Big Ben has another full week of practice to get his timing and confidence back with his talented weapons in Antonio Brown and Le'Veon Bell. We expect Roethlisberger and the Steelers to bounce back in a big way against the Cowboys in Sunday's Game of the Week, so feel confident in putting Roethlisberger in your lineup this weekend.



    *See Explanation Above*

    Running Backs



    *See Explanation Above*



    *See Explanation Above*

    Wide Receivers



    *See Explanation Above*



    In his first game back from an ankle injury, Smith Sr. hauled in four of his seven targets for 47 yards. He'll have a much more favorable matchup tonight against a Browns defense that has allowed the fifth most FanDuel points to opposing wide receivers this year. The Browns will also be on the road, where they've allowed two touchdowns to opposing wide receivers in five of their six games this season. Even on a short week of practice, I expect Smith Sr. and Joe Flacco to rediscover some of their chemistry and to exploit the Browns secondary on Thursday Night Football.



    *See Explanation Above*

    Tight Ends



    *See Explanation Above*



    Pitta is in a tight end's dream entering Thursday night's game against the Browns. The Browns tight end defense has been the worst in the NFL this season, allowing close to 17 FanDuel points per game to opposing tight ends. Pitta has been a favorite target of Joe Flacco's this season, as he's seen at least eight targets in five of eight games this year, including three games with 10 or more targets. After a quiet two catches for 14 yards last week, I expect Pitta to get plenty of action tonight and have a bounce back game against the Browns.
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