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    NFL DFS Value Plays - Week 13 (12/01/16)

    By Mark Dankenbring
    DFS Football Value Plays – Week 13

    With Week 13 of the NFL season upon us, let's take a look at who sets up to have the most value based on their salary in daily fantasy for DraftKings and FanDuel. With injuries opening up expanded roles for certain players, and favorable matchups determined after 12 weeks of action, we have a solid list of value plays this week. Value plays are centered around players who are below the average salary cost for their position and will produce the most points per dollar spent. Below are a list of some highlighted players on both platforms, but to see a full ranking of players and their value this week, visit our Optimizer tool for full control over your lineup.

    Each player is listed with their salary and projected points for the week.



    Fitzpatrick has had a tough year at the helm in New York, but will face one of the worst passing defenses in the league on Monday night. The Colts have given up at least two passing touchdowns in every game since Week 4 and are allowing the third most passing yards per game at 278.7. Fitzpatrick is hoping to keep the momentum in his favor as he's coming off his second best fantasy game of the season as he threw for 270 yards and two touchdowns last week. Expect Fitzpatrick to throw for at least two scores and to hopefully exceed the 300-yard passing mark for the first time since Week 2.

    The Bills will head to Oakland to take on the first place Raiders, and where Tyrod Taylor will take on a passing defense that has allowed the fifth most passing yards per game. Taylor, however, has had his main fantasy value come on the ground in recent weeks, as he's scored a rushing touchdown in four of his last five games. Taylor will also see Sammy Watkins on the field for the second straight week, which will undoubtedly help the passing attack for the Bills as they've struggled with injuries to their receiving corps all year. With his best receiver returning and the ability to score points on the ground, Taylor lines up to be a solid value play on the road against the Raiders.

    Running Backs

    Coming off a tough matchup against the Ravens, Hill and the Bengals will face the Eagles at home. With the injury to Giovani Bernard, Hill found himself involved in the passing game a lot more than usual last week, catching a season-high six passes for 61 yards. That will likely continue against an Eagles defense that has struggled with running backs out of the backfield. James Starks caught all five of his targets last week and Seattle backs caught five of seven targets the week before. With his involvement on the ground game locked up, Hill's continued involvement in the passing game will make him a great value play this week for only $4,300.

    McKinnon has been a fantasy bust since replacing Adrian Peterson as Minnesota's number one back. However, at his second lowest salary of the season, McKinnon could have some value this week against the Cowboys. As winners of their last ten and the third highest scoring team in the league, the Cowboys will likely build an early lead and force the Vikings to throw. This is where McKinnon's value will likely be showcased, as he's only gained more than 50 yards on the ground once this season. Last Thursday, the Redskins had to throw all game and their running backs caught seven of eight targets against the Cowboys. With Asiata having more success on the ground and relied on for goal-line situations, look for McKinnon to post double digit fantasy points in back to back weeks by catching several check-downs from Sam Bradford.

    Wide Receivers

    The Bears' top receiver from last week looks to have another solid game against the worst defense in the NFL. The 49ers are the only team giving up more than 30 points per game, and they've allowed to fourth most DraftKings points per game to opposing wide receivers this season. In last week's loss, Wilson caught eight of 11 targets for 125 yards and a touchdown. Wilson received the most targets from Matt Barkley, and had the most production by far, as he was the only receiver to gain more than 50 yards. I expect Wilson and Barkley to improve their chemistry even more at practice this week and to exploit one of the league's worst defenses.

    Lee has quietly been the most consistent receiver for the Jaguars this season. He has at least four receptions in all but two games this season, where as Allen Robinson and Allen Hurns have both seen five games of fewer than four receptions. Lee has also been targeted at least six times in all but two games this season, meaning Bortles is looking for him week in and week out. It's a tough matchup against the Broncos, but Lee's consistency may make him matchup proof if he can haul in at least four catches and a touchdown like the last two weeks. Lee seems to have a high floor as a value play this week.

    Cruz will try to get his season back on track against the Steelers on Sunday. He saw his most targets since Week 7 last week against the Browns, lining him up well to have a bounce back game in what's expected to be a shootout. Our projected total for the game is 50.5, indicating there will plenty of opportunity for Cruz to get involved. Cruz is averaging two more targets per game on the road this season as well, which lines him up well to be a solid value play this weekend at a salary of only $3,300.

    Tight Ends

    McDonald makes the list for the second straight week as the 49ers head to Soldier Field to take on the Bears. McDonald has made his presence known in San Francisco's offense over the past several weeks as he's received at least six targets in the last five games. Also, he's had a catch of at least 24 yards in each of those five games. McDonald will face a Bears defense that has allowed touchdowns to opposing tight ends in the last three games. Therefore, look for him to stay involved in the 49ers game plan and to see plenty of opportunities against the Bears on Sunday.

    Doyle has been one of Andrew Luck's favorite targets all year long, especially on the road. In the Colts' last two road games, Doyle has been targeted 19 times by Luck, catching 14 of those for 139 yards and a touchdown. The Jets have been stronger against tight ends than wide receivers this season, but Luck keeps Doyle involved in the offense more than the average tight end. Look for Doyle to be a safety blanket for Luck on Monday night and to be targeted throughout. With a projected 9.5 points, he'll only need to haul in five or six passes to solidify himself as a value play against the Jets.



    *See Explanation Above*

    *See Explanation Above*

    Running Backs

    *See Explanation Above*

    Riddick and the Lions will head down south to New Orleans this weekend to take on the Saints. In what's likely to be a shootout, Riddick will see plenty of work against one of the league's worst defenses. Riddick is more known for his pass catching ability, but has averaged a respectable 4.0 yards per carry this season for the Lions. New Orleans has allowed the 6th most FanDuel points per game to opposing running backs this season, so Riddick is in line to have a solid week in the Superdome.

    Wide Receivers

    Enunwa had a nice bounce back game last week against the Patriots after only recording two catches in the previous two games. He'll see his lowest FanDuel salary of the season against a Colts defense that has allowed nine touchdowns to opposing wide receivers in their last four games. Enunwa has caught a touchdown pass in three of the last four games with Ryan Fitzpatrick at quarterback, and will likely see another opportunity or two this Monday. Look for him to have a solid game against a porous Colts secondary.

    Floyd and the Cardinals will take on the Redskins at home this Sunday, where Floyd has had the majority of his success this season. He has averaged six targets per game and has scored all three of his touchdowns at home this season. The Redskins have been decent against the pass this season, but have allowed a passing touchdown to a wide receiver in each of their last three games. Look for Floyd to connect with Carson Palmer at home and continue his success in Phoenix this season.

    *See Explanation Above*

    Tight Ends

    *See Explanation Above*

    *See Explanation Above*

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