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    NFL DFS Value Plays - Week 11 (11/17/16)

    By Mark Dankenbring
    DFS Football Value Plays – Week 11

    With Week 11 of the NFL season upon us, let's take a look at who sets up to have the most value based on their salary in daily fantasy for DraftKings and FanDuel. With injuries opening up expanded roles for certain players, and favorable matchups determined after 10 weeks of action, we have a solid list of value plays this week. Value plays are centered around players who are below the average salary cost for their position and will produce the most points per dollar spent. Below are a list of some highlighted players on both platforms, but to see a full ranking of players and their value this week, visit our Optimizer tool for full control over your lineup.

    Each player is listed with their salary and projected points for the week.

    DraftKings

    Quarterbacks



    Cousins enters Week 11 as our top ranked value play at quarterback on DraftKings. Cousins will be at home against a Packers defense that has allowed 111 points in its last three games and just allowed Marcus Mariota to throw for 295 yards and four touchdowns. Over their last three games, the Packers have allowed the fourth most DraftKings points to opposing quarterbacks. Cousins will have his most dynamic target in Jordan Reed healthy for the third straight game, which is great news for the Redskins as Tennessee tight ends caught 10 passes for 133 yards and two touchdowns last week against the Packers. Look for Cousins to carve up the Packers defense and have great value in your lineup this weekend.



    Bortles and the Jaguars will head to Detroit this weekend to face a Lions team that has allowed the second most points per game on DraftKings to opposing quarterbacks this season. Even though Bortles hasn't posted great results on the field, he is currently 8th in most points scored among quarterbacks on DraftKings. With the Lions possessing a solid run defense and a susceptible secondary, look for Bortles to air it out early and often on Sunday, as he's averaged nearly 47 passing attempts in his last four games. Bortles is also likely to pick up some extra points on the ground, as he's averaging 30 yards rushing in his last four games as. All of these stats point to Bortles being a solid value play against the Lions on Sunday.



    Since returning as the starter for the 49ers, Kaepernick has averaged nearly 22 DraftKings points per game. Kaepernick has had moderate success through the air, but has really helped his fantasy scoring by averaging 57 yards rushing over four games. The Patriots have been middle of the road against opposing QBs this season, but are allowing the 5th most DraftKings points per game to opposing QBs over the last three weeks. With the 49ers defense continuing to struggle and the Patriots coming in off of a loss, expect Kaepernick to play from behind and have to throw/scramble throughout the game. At only $5,200, Kaepernick lines up as a cheap value play this weekend.

    Running Backs



    Prosise established himself as a more than capable option at running back for the Seahawks last weekend, as he totaled 153 yards from scrimmage against the Patriots on Sunday night. Thomas Rawls is expected to return for Seattle this Sunday, but with Christine Michael out of the picture, Prosise is still poised to receive a solid workload - especially in the passing game. Prosise has caught 12 passes for 173 yards over his last three games, which offers great value on DraftKings. Look for Prosise to stay heavily involved in the offense again this weekend against the Eagles, and to hopefully turn one of those receptions into a score.



    The last few weeks have been rough for Crowell on the ground, as he's only managed 27 yards in two games. However, he's become more established in the passing game, catching seven passes for 93 yards. Crowell will have an easier opponent to rush on compared to the last couple weeks, as he'll face a Steelers defense that has allowed the second most DraftKings points per game to opposing running backs this season. The Steelers will be on the road as well this weekend, where they've struggled so far this season, allowing an average of 105 yards to opposing RBs and 7 total touchdowns in just four games. Look for the Browns to re-establish the run game this weekend and for Crowell to have a bounce back game.



    As the clear number one running back option in Detroit, Riddick enters Sunday with a salary of only $5,100. The Lions are coming off their bye week, and Riddick had his best rushing game of the year in their last game against the Vikings, as he turned 14 carries into 70 yards. Riddick's main value has come by catching passes out of the backfield. He's averaging five catches and 40 receiving yards a game, and has also added four receiving touchdowns this season. Look for Riddick to bounce back from his one catch performance against the Vikings and have a solid week of output against the Jaguars.

    Wide Receivers



    With Jeremy Maclin in line to miss another Sunday, Tyreek Hill seems to benefit the most in the Chiefs receiving corps. In his last four games, Hill has averaged 15.25 DraftKings points, and in his only game without Maclin, caught 10 passes for 89 yards. Hill and the Chiefs square off against a Buccaneers defense that has allowed the 6th most DraftKings points per game to opposing wide receivers this season. Therefore, Hill is our number one value play at wide receiver this week.



    Coming in with the minimum salary for a wide out, Patton lines up to have solid value against the Patriots this week. Jeremy Kerley seems to be the number one receiving option in San Francisco, but with Torrey Smith not producing and questionable to even play this Sunday, Patton finds himself in the number two slot for the 49ers. The matchup isn't great against a New England defense that has been stingy against opposing wide receivers this year, but they just allowed Doug Baldwin to catch three TDs on his own last week. Also, in a game that will likely feature San Francisco trailing, the 49ers will have to throw to try and stay close. Therefore, as the second wide out in an offense that will likely throw plenty this weekend, look for Patton to be a potential filler for your lineup at just $3,000.



    Meredith seems to be the new number one option at wide receiver for the Bears now that Alshon Jeffery has been suspended for four games and Eddie Royal continues to be limited at practice with a toe injury. Hopefully he and Jay Cutler can build some chemistry this week in practice, as Meredith has only caught two passes from Cutler on the year, with the majority of his success coming when Brian Hoyer was quarterback. In their five games at home this year, the Giants have allowed 184 yards a game and four total touchdowns to opposing wide receivers. Therefore, with Meredith as the best deep threat on the team and Cutler likely to continue to air it out, look for Meredith to have a solid week against the Giants.

    Tight Ends



    The Patriots will likely be without Rob Gronkowski this weekend, so Bennett finds himself as the number one receiving option at tight end once again. Coming off of a seven catch, 102-yard performance, Bennett will face a 49ers defense that has allowed seven or more catches to opposing tight ends four times this season. With tight ends and running backs still the main focus of the Patriots offense, look for Bennett to have another solid week of production without Gronk in the picture.



    Davis has been great over the last four weeks for the Redskins, averaging 72 receiving yards and catching two touchdowns over that span. Even with the return of Jordan Reed, Davis has still found himself involved in the offense, scoring at least 14.3 DraftKings points in consecutive weeks. The Redskins face a Packers defense that just allowed Tennessee tight ends to catch 10 passes for 133 yards and two touchdowns, so there is enough wealth to be spread between both Reed and Davis. With Reed still as the primary weapon teams want to stop, look for Davis to have another solid week in the passing game, and to provide great value for a near minimum cost of $2,800.

    FanDuel

    Quarterbacks



    *See Explanation Above*



    *See Explanation Above*

    Running Backs



    *See Explanation Above*

    Wide Receivers



    *See Explanation Above*



    Since Tate's breakout game in Week 6 against the Rams, he's continued to pile up targets and receptions. Over his last four games, Tate has been targeted 43 times, catching 32 of those for 379 yards and two touchdowns. Tate has clearly made himself Stafford's number one passing target heading into a game against a Jacksonville team that has allowed 11 touchdowns to opposing wide receivers this season. The Lions play at home coming off their bye, so I expect Stafford and the offense to look sharp. Therefore, look for Tate to remain Stafford's go-to guy in the passing game and for him to have another solid game.



    *See Explanation Above*

    Tight Ends



    *See Explanation Above*



    Ebron has had two consecutive weeks of at least nine targets and seven receptions for the Lions. Stafford has made it a priority to get Ebron the ball since he's returned from injury, as he's seen the second most targets on the team behind Golden Tate. The Lions will face a Jaguars team that allowed two touchdowns to tight ends on the Texans last week and have allowed close to 70 yards per game to opposing tight ends over the last three weeks. Look for Ebron to remain one of Stafford's top targets this weekend and to have another solid fantasy week.

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