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    NFL Lines 9-12 (05/10/13)

    John Ewing, Director of Research and Analytics
    By John Ewing

    Cantor Gaming has released their point spreads for the 2013 NFL season. Below we look at some of the notable games from Week 9 through Week 12. Click here for Week 1 to Week 4 or here for Week 5 to Week 8.

    Cantor Gaming released their lines for Week 1 through Week 16 (lines are not posted for Week 17 because there is uncertainty in player participation) and as such we look at some of the notable games in this year’s NFL schedule. Below we review Week 9 through Week 12 with the rest of the schedule coming in succession.

    Week 9

    Cincinnati Bengals (+1) @ Miami Dolphins

    This is an important matchup on Halloween for two teams looking to make the playoffs. The lowest scoring games on Halloween was a 3-0 victory by the Green Bay Packers over the Chicago Cardinals in 1926. Most points scored in a game on Halloween, 59, by the Washington Redskins in 1948. The most turnovers in a Halloween game, 9, committed by the Los Angeles Rams in 1965.

    Chicago Bears (+4) @ Green Bay Packers

    This is the league’s longest rivalry dating back to 1921 with 186 regular-season and post-season games. Chicago leads the series 92-88-6 but the Packers have won 8 out of the last 10 games.

    Indianapolis Colts (+4.5) @ Houston Texans

    Since the realignment in 2002, the Colts have won the AFC South seven times, none since Peyton Manning was injured in 2010. Houston was never able to capture the division crown with a healthy Manning on the Colts, but have won each of the last two years. Andrew Luck looks to take the title back in an important November matchup.

    Rest of the lines for Week 9.

    Visiting Team Visiting Line Home Team Home Line
    Bengals 1 Dolphins -1
    Chiefs 1.5 Bills -1.5
    Chargers 3.5 Redskins -3.5
    Falcons -1 Panthers 1
    Vikings 1.5 Cowboys -1.5
    Titans 4.5 Rams -4.5
    Saints -1.5 Jets 1.5
    Buccaneers 7 Seahawks -7
    Eagles -1.5 Raiders 1.5
    Steelers 4 Patriots -4
    Ravens -3.5 Browns 3.5
    Colts 4.5 Texans -4.5
    Bears 4 Packers -4

    Week 10

    Washington Redskins (+1.5) @ Minnesota Vikings

    The NFL’s top two rushing leaders from last season Adrian Peterson (2,097) and Alfred Morris (1,613) faceoff. AP has stated that his goal is to rush for 2,500 yards in a season; this would shatter Eric Dickerson’s record of 2,105 in a single season.

    Dallas Cowboys (+4) @ New Orleans Saints

    Tony Romo and Drew Brees both had 400+ passing yards and 3+ passing touchdowns in their meeting last season. This was only the 5th time in NFL history that both quarterbacks had those statistics in the same game.

    Miami Dolphins (+1.5) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    Mike Wallace vs. Darrelle Revis. Both players are looking for a fresh start, Wallace after a disappointing statistical season and Revis after having ACL surgery. Revis tore his ACL in a game last year against Miami. 

    Rest of the lines for Week 10.

    Visiting Team Visiting Line Home Team Home Line
    Redskins 1.5 Vikings -1.5
    Seahawks PK Falcons PK
    Lions 3 Bears -3
    Eagles 7 Packers -7
    Jaguars 3.5 Titans -3.5
    Rams 2.5 Colts -2.5
    Raiders 9 Giants -9
    Bills 7 Steelers -7
    Bengals 3 Ravens -3
    Panthers 6 49ers -6
    Broncos -3 Chargers 3
    Texans -3 Cardinals 3
    Cowboys 4 Saints -4
    Dolphins 1.5 Buccaneers -1.5

    Week 11

    Green Bay Packers (PK) @ New York Giants

    Aaron Rodgers had his worst game last season against the Giants. He completed 56% of his passes for 219 yards, one touchdown and one interception. The Giants were able to sack or hit Rodgers on 17 of his 33 dropbacks. If Rodgers can stay upright look for him to have a nice bounce back game against the Giants.

    New England Patriots (-3) @ Carolina Panthers

    Cam Newton burst onto the scene in his rookie season but was a disappointment to many who expected him to take a step forward in his sophomore campaign. The real disappointment was not in the numbers he put up but rather the team’s record. The Panthers won 6 games in his rookie season of 2011 and 7 in 2012. If the Panthers want to take the next step as an organization then they will need to beat the Patriots at home.

    Indianapolis Colts (-1) @ Tennessee Titans

    Chris Johnson totaled 1,243 rushing yards last season. However he was horribly inconsistent with five games over 120 yards but eight games fewer than 60 yards. As Johnson goes so too do the Titans. They wisely invested in two guards in free agent Andy Levitre and draft pick Chance Warmack which should help improve CJ's numbers in 2013.

    Rest of the lines for Week 11.

    Visiting Team Visiting Line Home Team Home Line
    Colts -1 Titans 1
    Jets 1.5 Bills -1.5
    Ravens PK Bears PK
    Browns 6 Bengals -6
    Falcons -1 Buccaneers 1
    Cardinals PK Jaguars PK
    Raiders 7.5 Texans -7.5
    Chargers 3 Dolphins -3
    Redskins PK Eagles PK
    Lions 3.5 Steelers -3.5
    Chiefs 7.5 Broncos -7.5
    Vikings 6 Seahawks -6
    49ers PK Saints PK
    Packers PK Giants PK
    Patriots -3 Panthers 3

    Week 12

    New Orleans Saints (+2.5) @ Atlanta Falcons

    Either the Saints or Falcons have won the NFC South in each of the last four years. With Sean Peyton back on the sidelines for New Orleans expect the Saints to challenge the Falcons for the division crown.

    Denver Broncos (+1.5) @ New England Patriots

    This is the first game all season that the Broncos are listed as underdogs.  Peyton Manning vs. Tom Brady, nothing else needs to be said.

    San Francisco 49ers (-1.5) @ Washington Redskins

    We just had Manning vs. Brady but what about RGIII vs. Kaepernick, maybe this will turn into the best quarterback matchup over the next ten years. At the very least it should be entertaining with two of the NFL’s best dual threat quarterbacks.

    Rest of the lines for Week 12.

    Visiting Team Visiting Line Home Team Home Line
    Saints 2.5 Falcons -2.5
    Steelers -3 Browns 3
    Buccaneers 3.5 Lions -3.5
    Vikings 4.5 Packers -4.5
    Chargers 1 Chiefs -1
    Bears -1 Rams 1
    Panthers 1.5 Dolphins -1.5
    Jets 6 Ravens -6
    Jaguars 10 Texans -10
    Colts PK Cardinals PK
    Titans 1 Raiders -1
    Cowboys 2.5 Giants -2.5
    Broncos 1.5 Patriots -1.5
    49ers -1.5 Redskins 1.5

     

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