New User? Sign Up / Forgot Your Password?
All Live
Projections
    All Live Projections

    NFL Prediction (07/09/13)

    Paul Bessire, General Manager
    By Paul Bessire

    Each day over the next two weeks we will reveal a Prediction of the Day, where we share an interesting player or team prediction leading into the 2013 NFL season. Rams vs. FalconsTampa Bay's defenseBroncos/49ers, Ravens repeat?

    Prediction: Sacks and sack rates will skyrocket.  

    Why it is likely:

    The pass play vs. run ratio in the NFL has increased every year for the last decade, which yields a bit of a “no duh” element to the first part of this prediction. As pass plays increase, so do the opportunities for sacks. That being said, sack rates – the percentage of drop backs that result in a sack - also appear to be on the rise. In our offseason analysis 28 of 32 teams gave up a higher sack rate in our projected 2013 than in 2012 (27 of 32 defenses see an increase in sack rate). Rushing the passer is the easiest skill to translate from college to the NFL, while protecting the quarterback is one of the toughest. As the propensity to pass has steadily increased, more offensive coaches have adopted spread and read elements of the college game (which are notorious for leaving quarterbacks exposed) while many defensive coaches have placed significant focus on blitzes designed to confuse and get to the quarterback. Drafting teams have responded by putting premiums on both offensive lineman and pass rushers, but it’s the pass rushers who have the early edge and are most likely to make a big impact in 2013.

    Possible obstacles:

    It only takes one or two (more) major injuries to high profile quarterbacks for a greater emphasis to be placed on protecting the quarterback at all costs and working in more traditional run plays and offensive schemes.  

    Final thought:

    28 of 32, or 88% of teams see an increase in hits and sacks on the opposing quarterback this fall. They may make the money and win the awards, but this could easily end up being the worst season, physically, to be an NFL quarterback. 

    Print This Article
    PREVIOUS ARTICLE
    NFL Prediction (07/10/13)
    NEXT ARTICLE
    NFL Prediction (07/08/13)
    Want More Tips and Information? Click To Register!

    COMMENTS

    SEARCH BLOGS

    ARCHIVE

    Ad

    The Predictalator

    03/13/2017 Highlight: Using our ResultsFinder tool, it's evident that the Predictalator is entering March Madness in incredible form. The Predictalator posted 59 "normal" or better plays in March (plays with greater than 57% confidence) and went a stellar 36-23 (61.0%) on those plays. An average $50 bettor would have profited $678 using our recommended wager sizes. After posting an outstanding 8-1 (88.9%) ATS record on "normal" or better sides in last year's NCAA Tournament, the Predictalator looks poised to produce more NCAA Tournament winners.

    Recommended Features

    LOGIN

    LATEST ARTICLES

    College Basketball Picks - Friday Games
    The Predictalator has played all of Thursday's NCAA Tournament games 50,000 times to analyze chances of each team winning relative to the spread and over/under. See UNC vs. Butler and more.

    A.L. MVP & Cy Young Odds
    Frank Brank explores the odds for A.L. MVP and A.L. Cy Young Awards posted at bovada.lv and gives a breakdown of the top contenders.

    FIND US ONLINE


    SportsRadar


    All registered accounts are subject to our General Terms Of Service. Content is intended for informational purposes only. This is not a gambling website.

    FSTA Member 2015
    Home | The Predictalator | Blog | Privacy |  Media Contact |  B2B Solutions |  Sitemap |  Customer Support | 
    © 2010-2015 PredictionMachine.com, LLC. All rights reserved. | Site Designed by Randombell.com