New User? Sign Up / Forgot Your Password?
All Live
Projections
    All Live Projections

    NFL Prediction (07/10/13)

    Paul Bessire, General Manager
    By Paul Bessire

    Each day over the next two weeks we will reveal a Prediction of the Day, where we share an interesting player or team prediction leading into the 2013 NFL season. Rams vs. FalconsTampa Bay's defenseBroncos/49ersRavens repeat?, Sacks will Skyrocket

    Prediction: The Minnesota Vikings, Indianapolis Colts, Washington Redskins, Atlanta Falcons and Cincinnati Bengals will not make the playoffs.

    Why it is likely:

    On average, each year, almost half of the previous season’s NFL Playoff participants fail to make the postseason the next year. This is not necessarily because of total flukes in previous seasons or with bad luck or injuries in the current season (though those are contributing factors in most cases), but is more directly tied to the nature of parity in the league. Going into this season, we give the Broncos, 49ers, Seahawks, Patriots and Texans each greater than 65% chance to make the postseason. On the other end of the spectrum, the Jaguars, Raiders, Cardinals, Vikings, Titans and Browns each have less than a 20% chance to get into the playoffs. What happens to the other 21 teams is essentially up for grabs.

    Possible obstacles:

    Technically, the chance of all five of those teams missing the postseason is only 12.1%. None of these teams is greater than 45% likely to get in (Cincinnati is 44.1%), but it is unlikely that all five of these teams miss the playoffs.

    Final thought:

    In order, the least likely 2012 NFL Playoff teams to make the 2013 postseason are Minnesota Vikings (8.1%), Indianapolis Colts (35.2%), Washington Redskins (38.9%), Atlanta Falcons (40.3%) and Cincinnati Bengals (44.1%). 

    Print This Article
    PREVIOUS ARTICLE
    NFL Prediction (07/11/13)
    NEXT ARTICLE
    NFL Prediction (07/09/13)
    Want More Tips and Information? Click To Register!

    COMMENTS

    SEARCH BLOGS

    ARCHIVE

    Ad

    The Predictalator

    05/10/2017 Highlight: The NHL Playoffs have featured some very tight lines posted by oddsmakers, which has led to lower volume for the Predictalator. That hasn't let to less profits though. The Predictalator has posted 10 NHL positions (ML, O/U, or PL) in May, going 8-2 (80%) on those positions for a profit of $87. It is rare to find a big edge in the NHL this late in the year, but the Predictalator continues to chip away on small edges to provide solid returns.

    Check out the Shop now to learn more.

    Recommended Features

    LOGIN

    LATEST ARTICLES

    MLB - The So What?
    We use 50,000 simulations of the rest of the MLB season to analyze major personnel changes, including the recent injury to Braves first baseman Freddie Freeman.

    MLB Risers & Fallers - Power Rankings
    Mark Dankenbring discusses the biggest risers and fallers in our MLB Power Rankings over the course of the past week.

    FIND US ONLINE


    SportsRadar


    All registered accounts are subject to our General Terms Of Service. Content is intended for informational purposes only. This is not a gambling website.

    FSTA Member 2015
    Home | The Predictalator | Blog | Privacy |  Media Contact |  B2B Solutions |  Sitemap |  Customer Support | 
    © 2010-2015 PredictionMachine.com, LLC. All rights reserved. | Site Designed by Randombell.com