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    Bracket Odds (Sweet 16)

    Last Updated: 3/24/2014 at 12:00 PM ET
    2014 Tournament Pages:
    Bracket Odds (Sweet 16 Update)
    Thursday (3/27) Picks (all games)
    Friday (3/28) Picks (all games)
    Bracket Simulator
    Player Pick'em Contest

    The Predictalator uses current rosters and strength-of-schedule and pace-adjusted team and player stats, to play, one possession at a time, every game 50,000 times before it's actually played. For this analysis, we are tracking how likely a team is to make it to any level of the NCAA tournament. Each tournament is played individually, with the team that wins the game in that instance advancing. The percentages in the table below represent the team's likelihood of advancing to that round.

    Bracket Odds (based on 2014 NCAA Tournament played 50,000 times):
    Region Seed Team Elite 8 Final 4 Title Game Champ.
    South 1 Florida 63.8% 51.7% 32.2% 19.5%
    South 4 UCLA 36.2% 25.6% 12.6% 6.0%
    South 11 Dayton 45.8% 9.9% 2.9% 0.8%
    South 10 Stanford 54.2% 12.8% 4.0% 1.2%
    East 1 Virginia 39.3% 25.4% 12.2% 5.8%
    East 4 Michigan St. 60.7% 43.1% 24.7% 14.0%
    East 3 Iowa St. 55.4% 18.9% 7.3% 2.8%
    East 7 UCONN 44.6% 12.5% 4.1% 1.4%
    West 1 Arizona 61.0% 31.3% 13.3% 5.7%
    West 4 San Diego St. 39.0% 15.2% 4.8% 1.6%
    West 6 Baylor 49.2% 25.9% 10.8% 4.6%
    West 2 Wisconsin 50.8% 27.6% 11.7% 5.2%
    Midwest 8 Kentucky 26.6% 12.0% 5.4% 2.0%
    Midwest 4 Louisville 73.4% 47.5% 32.2% 19.4%
    Midwest 11 Tennessee 37.3% 11.3% 4.9% 1.6%
    Midwest 2 Michigan 62.7% 29.2% 16.8% 8.5%


    2014 Tournament Pages:
    Bracket Odds (Sweet 16 Update)
    Thursday (3/27) Picks (all games)
    Friday (3/28) Picks (all games)
    Bracket Simulator
    Player Pick'em Contest

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    11/24/2014 Highlight: Using the ResultsFinder for the Week of November 17th - 23rd, one could find that all highlighted college football "normal" or better plays went 6-3 (67% ATS and O/U), highlighted by the Lock of the Week, Appalachian State (+10 vs. LA-Lafayette), winning outright, 35-16, to cover by four touchdowns. The Lock of the Week has won seven of the last eight weeks and is 22-7 (77% ATS) in the last two seasons. Against-the-spread, "normal" or better halftime plays in college football also were solid going 4-2 (67% ATS).

    While there have only been three "normal" NFL ATS full game picks in the last two weeks, normal or better NFL against-the-spread halftimes have provided additional value by going 6-1 (86% ATS) in Week 11 and Week 12. Over the last six weeks, all playable full game against-the-spread NFL picks are 39-26 (60% ATS). In that same stretch, "normal or better halftime picks in the NFL are 17-8 (68% ATS). All halftime picks are free for the week!

    Finally, in the NBA, all "normal" or better picks went 5-3 (63% ATS and O/U). And, on the ice, all normal NHL plays stayed strong once again returning a profit for the fourth straight week. In the last four weeks, all normal or better NHL picks are 66-44 (60% ML, O/U and PL).

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