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    Bracket Odds (Sweet 16)

    Last Updated: 3/24/2014 at 12:00 PM ET
    2014 Tournament Pages:
    Bracket Odds (Sweet 16 Update)
    Thursday (3/27) Picks (all games)
    Friday (3/28) Picks (all games)
    Bracket Simulator
    Player Pick'em Contest

    The Predictalator uses current rosters and strength-of-schedule and pace-adjusted team and player stats, to play, one possession at a time, every game 50,000 times before it's actually played. For this analysis, we are tracking how likely a team is to make it to any level of the NCAA tournament. Each tournament is played individually, with the team that wins the game in that instance advancing. The percentages in the table below represent the team's likelihood of advancing to that round.

    Bracket Odds (based on 2014 NCAA Tournament played 50,000 times):
    Region Seed Team Elite 8 Final 4 Title Game Champ.
    South 1 Florida 63.8% 51.7% 32.2% 19.5%
    South 4 UCLA 36.2% 25.6% 12.6% 6.0%
    South 11 Dayton 45.8% 9.9% 2.9% 0.8%
    South 10 Stanford 54.2% 12.8% 4.0% 1.2%
    East 1 Virginia 39.3% 25.4% 12.2% 5.8%
    East 4 Michigan St. 60.7% 43.1% 24.7% 14.0%
    East 3 Iowa St. 55.4% 18.9% 7.3% 2.8%
    East 7 UCONN 44.6% 12.5% 4.1% 1.4%
    West 1 Arizona 61.0% 31.3% 13.3% 5.7%
    West 4 San Diego St. 39.0% 15.2% 4.8% 1.6%
    West 6 Baylor 49.2% 25.9% 10.8% 4.6%
    West 2 Wisconsin 50.8% 27.6% 11.7% 5.2%
    Midwest 8 Kentucky 26.6% 12.0% 5.4% 2.0%
    Midwest 4 Louisville 73.4% 47.5% 32.2% 19.4%
    Midwest 11 Tennessee 37.3% 11.3% 4.9% 1.6%
    Midwest 2 Michigan 62.7% 29.2% 16.8% 8.5%


    2014 Tournament Pages:
    Bracket Odds (Sweet 16 Update)
    Thursday (3/27) Picks (all games)
    Friday (3/28) Picks (all games)
    Bracket Simulator
    Player Pick'em Contest

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    11/17/2014 Highlight: Using the ResultsFinder for the Week of November 10th - 16th, one could find that with five sports (NFL, College Football, NBA, College Basketball and NHL) all in action at the same time, value based betting opportunities have been prevalent. In the last week, all featured "normal" or better against-the-spread plays went 28-13 (68% ATS and PL). This includes a stellar start to the college basketball season as the Predictalator is on fire. All "normal" or better against-the-spread plays in the first week of the season went 19-8 (70% ATS).

    And, while there were not any published "normal" NFL sides for the week, normal or better NFL halftimes stayed strong by going 4-0 ATS in Week 11. Over the last five weeks, all playable full game against-the-spread NFL picks are 35-21 (63% ATS). In that same stretch, "normal or better halftime picks in the NFL are 15-7 (68% ATS).

    Finally, in the NHL, all "normal" or better picks went 18-12 (60% ML, O/U and PL) over the last week. In the last three weeks, all normal or better NHL picks are 53-33 (62% ML, O/U and PL).

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