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    Bracket Odds (Sweet 16)

    Last Updated: 3/24/2014 at 12:00 PM ET
    2014 Tournament Pages:
    Bracket Odds (Sweet 16 Update)
    Thursday (3/27) Picks (all games)
    Friday (3/28) Picks (all games)
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    The Predictalator uses current rosters and strength-of-schedule and pace-adjusted team and player stats, to play, one possession at a time, every game 50,000 times before it's actually played. For this analysis, we are tracking how likely a team is to make it to any level of the NCAA tournament. Each tournament is played individually, with the team that wins the game in that instance advancing. The percentages in the table below represent the team's likelihood of advancing to that round.

    Bracket Odds (based on 2014 NCAA Tournament played 50,000 times):
    Region Seed Team Elite 8 Final 4 Title Game Champ.
    South 1 Florida 63.8% 51.7% 32.2% 19.5%
    South 4 UCLA 36.2% 25.6% 12.6% 6.0%
    South 11 Dayton 45.8% 9.9% 2.9% 0.8%
    South 10 Stanford 54.2% 12.8% 4.0% 1.2%
    East 1 Virginia 39.3% 25.4% 12.2% 5.8%
    East 4 Michigan St. 60.7% 43.1% 24.7% 14.0%
    East 3 Iowa St. 55.4% 18.9% 7.3% 2.8%
    East 7 UCONN 44.6% 12.5% 4.1% 1.4%
    West 1 Arizona 61.0% 31.3% 13.3% 5.7%
    West 4 San Diego St. 39.0% 15.2% 4.8% 1.6%
    West 6 Baylor 49.2% 25.9% 10.8% 4.6%
    West 2 Wisconsin 50.8% 27.6% 11.7% 5.2%
    Midwest 8 Kentucky 26.6% 12.0% 5.4% 2.0%
    Midwest 4 Louisville 73.4% 47.5% 32.2% 19.4%
    Midwest 11 Tennessee 37.3% 11.3% 4.9% 1.6%
    Midwest 2 Michigan 62.7% 29.2% 16.8% 8.5%


    2014 Tournament Pages:
    Bracket Odds (Sweet 16 Update)
    Thursday (3/27) Picks (all games)
    Friday (3/28) Picks (all games)
    Bracket Simulator
    Player Pick'em Contest

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    12/15/2014 Highlight: Using the ResultsFinder for the Week of December 8th - 14th one could find that all Week 15 playable against-the-spread NFL picks went 8-4 (67% ATS), highlighted by the Lock of the Week, the Denver Broncos (-4 @ San Diego), covering by more than a touchdown.

    All playable NFL ATS and O/U picks in the last three weeks are a combined 45-22 (67% ATS and O/U). And over the last nine weeks, all playable against-the-spread picks have been .500 or better each week and are 65-37 (64% ATS) overall. This mirrors last season when all playable NFL ATS picks in the second half of the season finished 71-41 (63% ATS), culminating in a 9-1-1 (90% ATS) playoff record.

    With bowls starting at the end of this week, it's important to note that highlighted, "normal" or better bowls picks for the 2013-14 season went 14-9 (61% ATS and O/U). Playable college football bowl totals are also 48-35 (58% O/U) since the site launched.

    NFL and College Basketball halftime plays continue to provided great value. All normal or better against-the-spread plays in these sports combined to go 37-28 (57% ATS). And, lastly, "normal" or better NHL plays went 20-13 (61% ML, O/U and PL), the eighth week in the last nine that has been profitable for hockey.

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