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    NBA Stat Props (07/17/13)

    John Ewing, Director of Research and Analytics
    By John Ewing
    Following the rush of NBA free agency we take a look at NBA stat props for players on their new teams. Odds courtesy of Bovada.lv.


     
    The madness of NBA free agency is over. Dwight Howard snubbed the Lakers and other suitors opting to take his rebounding to Houston. The Warriors went from playoff darlings to serious contenders with the signing of Andre Iguodala and the Nets altered their franchise’s fortunes when they finalized their blockbuster trade for Kevin Garnett and Paul Pierce.  
     
    The question now, how will these players perform on their new teams? Bovada.lv has provided prop bets for your wagering enjoyment. Points, rebounds, assists, we look at the over/under on stats for the marquee players in free agency.
     
    Dwight Howard
    Howard sprung for the greener pastures of Houston with a fertile supporting cast including James Harden. In doing so the Rockets went from 20-1 to 9-1 to win the NBA Championship.
     
    Stats: 2012-13 regular season – 17.1 PPG, 12.4 RPG, .492 FT%
    2012-13 postseason – 17.0 PPG, 10.8 RPG, .444 FT%
    Career – 18.3 PPG, 12.9 RPG, .577 FT%
     
    Average Points Per Game in 2013 – 2014 Regular Season?
    Over/Under:  19.5
     
    Average Rebounds Per Game in 2013 – 2014 Regular Season?
    Over/Under:  13
     
    Average Free Throw % in 2013 – 2014 Regular Season?
    Over/Under:  53%
     
    Nets: Kevin Garnett/Paul Pierce
    The Nets added two future Hall of Famers via a draft night mega-trade. The additions have moved the Nets NBA Title odds from 40-1 to 10-1 but it will come at a steep cost. Brooklyn’s projected salary is $98 million; under the new CBA the Nets will pay nearly $70 million in luxury taxes.
     
    Garnett, Stats: 2012-13 regular season – 14.8 PPG and 7.8 RPG, 2012-13 postseason – 12.7 PPG and 13.7 RPG, Career – 19.1 PPG and 10.5 RPG
     
    Pierce, Stats: 2012-13 regular season – 18.6 PPG, 2012-13 postseason – 19.2 PPG, Career – 21.8 PPG
     
    Kevin Garnett – Average Points Per Game in 2013 – 2014 Regular Season?
    Over/Under:  12.5
     
    Kevin Garnett – Average Rebounds Per Game in 2013 – 2014 Regular Season?
    Over/Under:  7.5
     
    Paul Pierce – Average Points Per Game in 2013 – 2014 Regular Season?
    Over/Under:  15.5


     
    Andre Iguodala
    Last year Golden State won a playoff series for the first time since 1991 behind Stephen Curry, the league’s best sharpshooter. In an effort to go further in the postseason the Warriors landed one of the league’s best all-around players in Andre Iguodala.
     
    Stats: 2012-13 regular season – 13.0 PPG, 2012-13 postseason – 18.0 PPG, Career – 15.1 PPG
     
    Average Points Per Game in 2013 – 2014 Regular Season?
    Over/Under:  13.5
     
    Josh Smith
    The Pistons signed Smith to a four-year $54 million contract. Detroit is hoping this splash in free agency provides a positive net return unlike their ill-fated signings of Ben Gordon and Charlie Villanueva in 2009.
     
    Stats: 2012-13 regular season – 17.5 PPG and 8.4 RPG, 2012-13 postseason – 17.0 PPG and 7.5 RPG, Career – 15.3 PPG and 8.0 RPG
    ­
    Average Points Per Game in 2013 – 2014 Regular Season?
    Over/Under:  17.5
     
    ­Average Rebounds Per Game in 2013 – 2014 Regular Season?
    Over/Under:  7.5
     
    Jrue Holiday
    The Pelicans traded Nerlens Noel and a 2014 first-round pick for the Sixers' All-Star point guard. There will be no rebuilding in New Orleans; the Pelicans also signed Tyreke Evans, which gives Nola six players locked up through 2015-16.
     
    Stats: 2012-13 regular season – 17.7 PPG and 8.0 APG, Career – 13.4 PPG and 5.8 APG
     
    Average Points Per Game in 2013 – 2014 Regular Season?
    Over/Under:  16.5
     
    Average Assists Per Game in 2013 – 2014 Regular Season?
    Over/Under:  6.5
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