MLB Playoff Odds

Last Updated: 10/3/2012

The Predictalator uses current rosters and strength-of-schedule and park-adjusted team and player stats, to play, one possession at a time, every game 50,000 times before it's actually played. For this analysis, we are tracking how likely a team is to make it to any level of the MLB Playoffs. Pitching rotations, lineups and rosters are projected to the best of our knowledge and estimation. Each entire playoff is played individually, with the team that wins the series in each unique instance advancing. The percentages in the table below represent the team's likelihood of advancing to that round.

MLB World Series Playoff Odds (based on 2012 MLB Playoffs played 50,000 times):


Region Seed Team Division League World Series Champ.
AL 1 NYY 100% 57.6% 32.4% 17.9%
AL 2 Oak 100% 41.8% 17.7% 7.9%
AL 3 Det 100% 58.2% 29.4% 15.9%
AL 4 Tex 61.6% 29.7% 15.7% 8.6%
AL 5 Bal 38.4% 12.7% 4.8% 1.8%
Region Seed Team Division League World Series Champ.
NL 1 Was 100% 52.4% 27.7% 13.6%
NL 2 Cin 100% 46.2% 21.3% 9.6%
NL 3 SF 100% 53.8% 27.0% 13.0%
NL 4 Atl 55.1% 24.7% 11.3% 5.0%
NL 5 StL 44.9% 22.9% 12.7% 6.6%

MLB postseason action opens Friday and PredictionMachine.com is your home for MLB Playoff picks and predictions. As baseball rolls out its new playoff system with two, one game Wild Card matchups, a total of ten teams have a chance to take home the coveted Fall Classic title. 

PredictionMachine.com will play each MLB playoff game 50,000 times and publish Money-Line (M/L), Run-Line (R/L) and Over/Under (O/U) selections for each game. Picks will be available two hours prior to the first pitch or 4 pm ET (whichever comes first) with notification via email.

Picks Pages:
Customize the Predictalator - Play the Games with Any Lines
Buy Picks

Archive

The Predictalator

The Predictalator is the most advanced sports forecasting software available today because it has the ability to account for all of the relevant statistical interactions of the players (playing or not playing/injured), coaches, officials, fans (homefield advantage) and weather in each game.

The Predictalator plays every game 50,000 times before it's actually played. This provides us the ability to assign probabilities to the likelihood of just about any outcome occurring in any contest including straight-up, against-the-spread and over/under winners of each game.

Try it out yourself with the Customizable Predictalator.

For more information on this technology, read About the Predictalator.

Ad
Ad
Ad