New User? Sign Up / Forgot Your Password?
All Live
Projections
    All Live Projections

    Playoff Probabilities (07/01/15)

    By John Ewing Director of Research and Analytics @johnewing
    MLB Playoff Probabilities – Does your team still have a chance to make the playoffs?



    As the MLB season quickly approaches the midway point, does your team still have a chance to make the playoffs?

    A lot can happen in the second half of the season but as the MLB All-Star Game approaches, the true contenders are beginning to separate from the pack.

    Highlights:

    The Cardinals are the most likely team to reach the postseason (99.6 percent). St. Louis enjoys the largest division lead in baseball (8 games) but the Redbirds are not the most likely World Series champions.

    That honor belongs to the Dodgers. Los Angeles is 33.8 percent likely to reach the World Series and has a 22.7 percent chance to win it all for the first time since 1988.

    The Pirates have seen their playoff odds increase the most in the last month. In May, Pittsburgh had a 39.7 percent chance to reach the postseason. After going 17-9 in June the Pirates are now 74.0 percent likely to play past the 162nd game of the season.

    Other big gainers: Toronto +23.3 percent, Baltimore +19.5 percent, Texas +12.9 percent and New York Yankees +11.8 percent.

    Detroit entered June battling Kansas City for the AL Central lead but the Tigers now find themselves six games back of the Royals and 1.5 games out of the Wild Card. Detroit's playoff probability has decreased 27.8 percent, the most of any team.

    Other big losers: Seattle -26.8 percent, San Diego -16.0 percent, Boston -10.7 percent and New York Mets -10.3 percent.

    Only six teams have greater than a 1-in-20 chance of winning the World Series.

    The Cardinals (7/1), Nationals (7/1) and Dodgers (8/1) all have value to win the World Series. Odds courtesy of Bovada.lv.

    Congratulations Philadelphia, you are the only team that has a zero percent chance of making the playoffs. There are nine other teams with less than a five percent chance of playing late into October and will likely join the Phillies as officially eliminated from contention.

    MLB Playoff Probabilities

    Team Playoffs World Series
    Los Angeles Dodgers 96.8 22.7
    St. Louis Cardinals 99.6 14.4
    Washington Nationals 95.6 14.1
    Kansas City Royals 79.5 5.6
    New York Yankees 58.1 5.3
    Houston Astros 75.3 5.1
    Pittsburgh Pirates 74.0 4.5
    Toronto Blue Jays 45.5 4.2
    Chicago Cubs 68.2 4.2
    Detroit Tigers 42.0 4.0
    Baltimore Orioles 40.4 3.1
    Los Angeles Angels 39.4 2.7
    Tampa Bay Rays 40.0 2.7
    Oakland Athletics 12.8 1.6
    Cleveland Indians 17.7 1.5
    San Francisco Giants 36.7 1.4
    Texas Rangers 19.7 0.9
    Boston Red Sox 11.1 0.7
    Minnesota Twins 13.0 0.4
    New York Mets 14.6 0.4
    Seattle Mariners 4.2 0.2
    San Diego Padres 1.9 0.1
    Arizona Diamondbacks 3.0 0.1
    Cincinnati Reds 3.6 0.1
    Atlanta Braves 4.8 0.1
    Philadelphia Phillies 0.0 0.0
    Milwaukee Brewers 0.1 0.0
    Miami Marlins 0.5 0.0
    Colorado Rockies 0.6 0.0
    Chicago White Sox 1.3 0.0

    Print This Article
    PREVIOUS ARTICLE
    Kazmir and Cueto (07/28/15)
    NEXT ARTICLE
    MLB - 3 Up 3 Down (07/01/15)
    Want More Tips and Information? Click To Register!

    COMMENTS

    SEARCH BLOGS

    ARCHIVE

    Ad

    The Predictalator

    03/13/2017 Highlight: Using our ResultsFinder tool, it's evident that the Predictalator is entering March Madness in incredible form. The Predictalator posted 59 "normal" or better plays in March (plays with greater than 57% confidence) and went a stellar 36-23 (61.0%) on those plays. An average $50 bettor would have profited $678 using our recommended wager sizes. After posting an outstanding 8-1 (88.9%) ATS record on "normal" or better sides in last year's NCAA Tournament, the Predictalator looks poised to produce more NCAA Tournament winners.

    NBA predictions continue to follow the same heat wave of college hoops, as all playable sides are 30-25 (54.5%) ATS in the month of March. More importantly, top plays continue to produce at a staggering clip, with all "normal" or better sides off to a solid 9-3 (75.0%) ATS mark in March, producing $284 in profits for an average $50 bettor.

    The Predictalator's NHL picks continue to cash in consistenly as "normal" or better ML and PL plays are an outstanding 32-18 (64.0%) on the season, amassing $507 in total profits. While the betting market has really tightened up with NHL in recent months, the Predictalator continues to find success and is now 449-367 (55.0%) on all playable ML and PL plays this season.

    Check out the Shop now to learn more.

    Recommended Features

    LOGIN

    LATEST ARTICLES

    College Basketball Picks - Sunday Games
    The Predictalator has played all of Sunday's NCAA Tournament games 50,000 times to analyze chances of each team winning relative to the spread and over/under.

    A.L. MVP & Cy Young Odds
    Frank Brank explores the odds for A.L. MVP and A.L. Cy Young Awards posted at bovada.lv and gives a breakdown of the top contenders.

    FIND US ONLINE


    SportsRadar


    All registered accounts are subject to our General Terms Of Service. Content is intended for informational purposes only. This is not a gambling website.

    FSTA Member 2015
    Home | The Predictalator | Blog | Privacy |  Media Contact |  B2B Solutions |  Sitemap |  Customer Support | 
    © 2010-2015 PredictionMachine.com, LLC. All rights reserved. | Site Designed by Randombell.com