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    MLB Playoff Odds (07/17/14)

    John Ewing, Director of Research and Analytics, @johnewing
    By John Ewing
    Which MLB teams will make the playoffs? Odds courtesy of Bovada.lv.



    With the second half of the MLB season set to start, which teams will make the playoffs? Bovada.lv has posted odds for twelve teams to reach the postseason.

    Which teams have value?

    Two of the strongest plays are on the Toronto Blue Jays and St. Louis Cardinals.

    Toronto is four games behind Baltimore in the AL East. The Blue Jays have not made the playoffs in 21 years and their season could be considered a success after leading the division for 51 days after finishing last in 2013. However, we believe the Jays overcome injuries to Edwin Encarnacion and Adam Lind to end Toronto's playoff drought.

    St. Louis plays in one of the most difficult divisions in baseball. The NL Central is the only division to have four teams with .500 or better records. The Cardinals, Brewers, Reds and Pirates are all within in 3.5 games of first. Despite a tough division and a demanding schedule, the Redbirds are a team we have believed in all season. The best fans in baseball also have the best team in the NL Central.

    For all of our future picks including World Series, League Championship and Division Win Futures, click here.

    Note: Teams that have lower than 10/1 odds to win the World Series are assumed to make the playoffs and therefore do not have odds listed below. These teams include: Oakland, Los Angeles Dodgers, Los Angeles Angels, Detroit and Washington.

    MLB Playoff Odds

    Team Yes - Will Make Playoffs Odds Needed Projected Odds Value
    Orioles 1/2 66.7% 51.9% No
    Blue Jays 2/1 33.3% 49.2% Yes
    Yankees 3/1 25.0% 27.1% Yes
    Royals 5/2 28.6% 17.2% No
    Indians 5/1 16.7% 10.7% No
    Mariners 2/3 60.0% 41.9% No
    Braves 10/11 52.4% 55.7% Yes
    Brewers 1/1 50.0% 40.8% No
    Cardinals 5/7 58.3% 75.4% Yes
    Reds 1/1 50.0% 51.5% Yes
    Pirates 2/1 33.3% 32.1% No
    Giants 2/3 60.0% 60.1% Yes



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