New User? Sign Up / Forgot Your Password?
All Live
    All Live Projections

    Home Field Advantage (06/24/15)

    By Paul Bessire and John Ewing @johnewing

    Which teams have the best home field advantage in college football?

    If you are a college football fan, then you probably have thought of a list of the loudest and toughest stadiums to play in on Saturdays in the fall. However, the true home field advantage for each program may surprise even the most diehard fans.

    Home field advantage in college football is typically presumed to mean about three points for the hosting team. This means that if two teams are identical, neither team should be favored on a neutral field, while the home team would be favored by about three if they played at one of the team's stadium. This can lead to essentially a six point swing from one venue to the next. The truth is that some stadiums could actually mean up to six points, while some do not help much at all (the expected difference in the margin of victory between Arkansas and Wisconsin from one stadium to the next, for instance, could be around 12 points, while the location does not really matter when Central Michigan plays Bowling Green).

    The chart below ranks every FBS college football team in order of the strength of its home field. Fans of teams from power conferences, like Florida State, TCU and Stanford, may be disappointed at their apparent lack of impact at home games. However, it's not necessarily a good thing to top this list.

    The best teams should be closer to the bottom of the rankings than the top because they should dominate more consistently and not be subject to the large swings in performance from home to away like what is seen in other teams.

    While traditionally elite FBS teams should not fare well in this exercise, the same can be said about teams that are traditionally really bad.

    Where home field means most is with the next tier of teams - mostly BCS conference teams that can usually compete for conference titles, but do not have the depth to be consistent College Football Playoff contenders. That's when the value of home field matters most; when the talent is strong but not elite and players are more susceptible to the impact of crowd noise, tradition and atmosphere.

    In the rankings below, it is also important to note that pace is a factor in determining a team's "true" home field advantage. For example, from a pure, raw points perspective, Baylor would be the top team in our rankings. When we standardize for the number of plays the Bears run compared to an average team, their relative home field advantage falls to sixth. Still, it is difficult to win or cover in McLane Stadium. The Bears are 24-1 against-the-spread in their last 25 home games spanning four seasons.

    Note: All data goes back to 2000 and compares home performance to road performance relative to competition and expectations. In general, recent seasons are given more weight than seasons long ago, especially for programs that are newer to FBS football (Charlotte is not included at all since it has no FBS seasons). For teams that have new stadiums, seasons in new stadiums are given stronger consideration. The Home Field Advantage value in the charts is the expected advantage a team would gain for playing at home as compared to a neutral field against a totally average opponent if it played at a totally average pace (we use this to assess the impact of home field advantage on every play in a game).

    Conference Rankings

    Remember, being high on this list isn't necessarily a good thing. The ACC ranks last in home field advantage and the conference is anchored by Florida State, which has the lowest home field advantage in the nation (it's technically negative).

    The Seminoles are consistent whether they are playing in Tallahassee or on the road. That dependable play has helped FSU win seven conference titles and a BCS National Championship since 2000.

    Rank Conference Average Home Field Advantage
    1 MWC 3.58
    2 Big 12 3.36
    3 C-USA 3.19
    4 SEC 2.97
    5 B1G 2.85
    6 IND 2.77
    7 PAC-12 2.70
    8 American 2.54
    9 MAC 2.43
    10 Sun Belt 2.29
    11 ACC 1.97

    Home Field Advantage Rankings

    Rank Team Standardized Home Field Advantage Conference
    1 North Texas Green 5.94 C-USA
    2 Wisconsin Badgers 5.77 B1G
    3 Arkansas Razorbacks 5.66 SEC
    4 Kansas Jayhawks 5.66 B12
    5 Marshall Herd 5.20 C-USA
    6 Baylor Bears 5.18 B12
    7 Rice Owls 5.12 C-USA
    8 Michigan Wolverines 4.99 B1G
    9 Kansas State Wildcats 4.96 B12
    10 Buffalo Bulls 4.74 MAC
    11 UTEP Miners 4.48 C-USA
    12 Oklahoma Sooners 4.39 B12
    13 LSU Tigers 4.36 SEC
    14 Hawaii Warriors 4.34 MWC
    15 Air Force Falcons 4.13 MWC
    16 Nevada Pack 4.11 MWC
    17 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 3.98 C-USA
    18 San Diego State Aztecs 3.96 MWC
    19 Boise State Broncos 3.92 MWC
    20 Colorado State Rams 3.90 MWC
    21 UCLA Bruins 3.90 PAC-12
    22 Minnesota Gophers 3.90 B1G
    23 Arkansas State Wolves 3.88 SBC
    24 Georgia Southern Eagles 3.85 SBC
    25 New Mexico State Aggies 3.84 SBC
    26 UNLV Rebels 3.79 MWC
    27 Oklahoma State Cowboys 3.79 B12
    28 Mississippi State Bulldogs 3.75 SEC
    29 Houston Cougars 3.75 AAC
    30 South Carolina Gamecocks 3.73 SEC
    31 Florida Atlantic Owls 3.73 C-USA
    32 Clemson Tigers 3.67 ACC
    33 Toledo Rockets 3.61 MAC
    34 San Jose State Spartans 3.61 MWC
    35 Arizona State Devils 3.59 PAC-12
    36 Army Knights 3.58 IND
    37 USC Trojans 3.56 PAC-12
    38 Fresno State Bulldogs 3.56 MWC
    39 Indiana Hoosiers 3.52 B1G
    40 Washington Huskies 3.28 PAC-12
    41 Colorado Buffaloes 3.27 PAC-12
    42 East Carolina Pirates 3.26 AAC
    43 Connecticut Huskies 3.25 AAC
    44 Tennessee Volunteers 3.23 SEC
    45 New Mexico Lobos 3.23 MWC
    46 Northern Illinois Huskies 3.22 MAC
    47 Cincinnati Bearcats 3.21 AAC
    48 Notre Dame Irish 3.16 IND
    49 Iowa State Cyclones 3.15 B12
    50 Boston College Eagles 3.13 ACC
    51 Western Michigan Broncos 3.07 MAC
    52 Miami (FL) Hurricanes 3.05 ACC
    53 Ole Miss Rebels 3.02 SEC
    54 Georgia Bulldogs 3.02 SEC
    55 California Bears 3.00 PAC-12
    56 Virginia Cavaliers 2.97 ACC
    57 Troy Trojans 2.95 SBC
    58 Auburn Tigers 2.94 SEC
    59 Ohio Bobcats 2.90 MAC
    60 Iowa Hawkeyes 2.84 B1G
    61 Alabama Tide 2.83 SEC
    62 Penn State Lions 2.82 B1G
    63 Eastern Michigan Eagles 2.81 MAC
    64 Middle Tennessee Raiders 2.80 C-USA
    65 Southern Methodist Mustangs 2.79 AAC
    66 Tulane Wave 2.79 AAC
    67 Texas State Bobcats 2.75 SBC
    68 UCF Knights 2.74 AAC
    69 Oregon Ducks 2.74 PAC
    70 Rutgers Knights 2.69 B1G
    71 Kentucky Wildcats 2.69 SEC
    72 Illinois Illini 2.68 B1G
    73 Temple Owls 2.66 AAC
    74 Wake Forest Deacons 2.63 ACC
    75 Arizona Wildcats 2.62 PAC
    76 Tulsa Hurricane 2.55 AAC
    77 North Carolina Tar Heels 2.52 ACC
    78 Texas A&M Aggies 2.50 SEC
    79 South Alabama 2.47 SBC
    80 Old Dominion Monarchs 2.42 C-USA
    81 Appalachian State Mountaineers 2.40 SBC
    82 Miami (OH) Redhawks 2.39 MAC
    83 Akron Zips 2.38 MAC
    84 Ohio State Buckeyes 2.37 B1G
    85 Texas Tech Raiders 2.36 B12
    86 Ball State Cardinals 2.29 MAC
    87 Oregon State Beavers 2.24 PAC-12
    88 Idaho Vandals 2.20 SBC
    89 Maryland Terrapins 2.18 B1G
    90 North Carolina State Wolfpack 2.17 ACC
    91 Michigan State Spartans 2.16 B1G
    92 Georgia Tech Jackets 2.16 ACC
    93 Utah State Aggies 2.12 MWC
    94 Florida Gators 2.12 SEC
    95 Purdue Boilermakers 2.09 B1G
    96 Missouri Tigers 2.07 SEC
    97 Wyoming Cowboys 2.05 MWC
    98 West Virginia Mountaineers 2.02 B12
    99 UTSA Roadrunners 1.96 C-USA
    100 Pittsburgh Panthers 1.94 ACC
    101 Massachusetts Minutemen 1.93 MAC
    102 Stanford Cardinal 1.92 PAC-12
    103 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 1.86 C-USA
    104 Kent State Flashes 1.77 MAC
    105 Brigham Young Cougars 1.74 IND
    106 Navy Midshipmen 1.66 AAC
    107 Nebraska Cornhuskers 1.60 B1G
    108 Georgia State Panthers 1.60 SBC
    109 Syracuse Orange 1.56 ACC
    110 TCU Frogs 1.48 B12
    111 Louisville Cardinals 1.40 ACC
    112 Washington State Cougars 1.22 PAC-12
    113 Utah Utes 1.00 PAC-12
    114 Memphis Tigers 0.85 AAC
    115 Northwestern Wildcats 0.84 B1G
    116 South Florida Bulls 0.81 AAC
    117 Duke Devils 0.73 ACC
    118 Southern Miss Eagles 0.69 C-USA
    119 Texas Longhorns 0.51 B12
    120 Virginia Tech Hokies 0.41 ACC
    121 Central Michigan 0.37 MAC
    122 Florida International Panthers 0.29 C-USA
    123 Bowling Green Falcons 0.23 MAC
    124 Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (0.27) SBC
    125 Vanderbilt Commodores (0.41) SEC
    126 Louisiana-Lafayette Cajuns (0.57) SBC
    127 Florida State Seminoles (0.72) ACC

    Print This Article
    Games of the Year (06/29/15)
    Golson vs. Winston (05/20/15)
    Want More Tips and Information? Click To Register!





    The Predictalator

    08/09/2017 Highlight: Football season is slowly approaching and as we use our ResultsFinder tool to look back on previous seasons, we can see that ATS picks in the NFL regular season have topped 56% ATS four times in seven years, and have been profitable in all but one season on the site. NFL Playoff picks are also a stellar 50-25 (67% ATS) in our history.

    Check out the Shop now to learn more.

    Recommended Features



    Fantasy Sports Partnership
    Prediction Machine has partnered up with Fantasy Guru Elite. Read the blog from our Business Manager, Rob Pizzola, to learn more.

    NFL Preview - In-Depth Analysis
    In the most likely Super Bowl, the New England Patriots defeat the Seattle Seahawks. Check out in-depth analysis for every team in the league.



    All registered accounts are subject to our General Terms Of Service. Content is intended for informational purposes only. This is not a gambling website.

    FSTA Member 2015
    Home | The Predictalator | Blog | Privacy |  Media Contact |  B2B Solutions |  Sitemap |  Customer Support | 
    © 2010-2015, LLC. All rights reserved. | Site Designed by