New User? Sign Up / Forgot Your Password?
All Live
Projections
    All Live Projections

    SEC (03/09/14)

    John Ewing, Director of Research and Analytics, @johnewing
    By John Ewing
    Championship Week – which teams will win automatic bids to the NCAA tournament? We simulated each conference tournament to find out.


     
    Conference tournaments are the unofficial start of March Madness. Over the next two weeks, single-elimination tournaments will be played with automatic bids to the NCAA tournament at stake.
     
    We have simulated each conference tournament using our Bracket Simulator to predict which teams will punch their ticket to the Big Dance. The Bracket Simulator is a free tool that gives you the power to simulate the postseason for any sport. Create your own bracket now!
     
    PredictionMachine.com has been very profitable in conference tournaments. All-time on the site, "normal" or better conference tournament picks are 84-54 (61% ATS and O/U), through 2013. For access to conference tournament picks, click here.
     
    When: March 12-16
     
    Where: Atlanta, GA
     
    The automatic bid goes to: Florida (44.0%)
     
    The Gators swept the conference finishing a perfect 18-0 and propelling Florida to No. 1 in our Power Rankings. It would be surprising if the SEC title does not end up in The Swamp. 
     
    And if they lose: Tennessee (18.5%)
     
    The Volunteers are playing their best basketball of the season and enter the SEC Tournament on a four game winning streak. Tennessee’s defense has been stellar limiting opponents to 61.8 points/game (17th in the nation).
     
    Bid Thief:
     
    LSU: The Tigers have no business winning the SEC Tournament, let alone, participating in the NCAA Tournament. However, LSU got a favorable draw being on the opposite side of Florida/Tennessee in the bracket. If an underdog does not win the SEC Tournament, Florida/Kentucky may be the only teams dancing.  
     
    Odds to win the SEC (based on 50,000 simulations of the conference tournament)
     
    Seed Team Elite 8 Final 4 Title Game Champ.
    1 Florida 100.0 81.2 57.4 44.0
    4 Tennessee 100.0 72.1 28.9 18.5
    2 Kentucky 100.0 68.1 46.9 17.6
    3 Georgia 100.0 54.1 20.5 5.5
    7 LSU 56.2 19.4 11.6 3.1
    5 Arkansas 63.7 19.9 5.7 2.9
    8 Missouri 61.4 14.3 5.7 2.6
    6 Mississippi 52.7 24.8 7.9 2.1
    10 Alabama 43.9 12.6 6.2 1.5
    11 Vanderbilt 33.3 14.8 4.9 0.8
    9 Texas A&M 38.6 4.5 1.0 0.4
    14 Mississippi State 14.0 6.3 2.1 0.4
    12 Auburn 19.3 4.3 0.8 0.3
    13 South Carolina 17.1 3.8 0.7 0.3

    Print This Article
    PREVIOUS ARTICLE
    Big East (03/11/14)
    NEXT ARTICLE
    AAC (03/09/14)
    Want More Tips and Information? Click To Register!

    COMMENTS

    SEARCH BLOGS

    ARCHIVE

    Ad

    The Predictalator

    The Predictalator is the most advanced sports forecasting software available today because it has the ability to account for all of the relevant statistical interactions of the players, coaches, officials, home field advantage and weather in each game.

    Picks for every game, including our Play Value Key and Calculator recommendations for optimal bankroll management and access to the Play Analyzer can be purchased in the Shop or by game here.

    05/10/2017 Highlight: With baseball season now into its second month, we can leverage our ResultsFinder tool to profile our season-to-date numbers. MLB sides and totals continue to remain extremely profitable despite a recent run of bad variance to start May. The Predictalator's record of 272-250 on sides and totals this season doesn't look all that impressive, but that's because the simulations have sided with underdogs more often than favorites. Through May 9, the Predictalator has generated $547 for an average $50 bettor. "Normal" or better sides, totals, and run lines (our strongest edges) are 14-10 (+$118) season-to-date.

    The NBA Playoffs continue on in the Second Round and the Predictalator has been profitable on both sides and totals in this year's postseason. Despite being just 16-19 (45.7%) ATS in the NBA Postseason, the Predictalator has generated $46 of total profit, which is a testament to our play value recommendations. Totals have been the real moneymaker in this postseason though, as all playabale totals are 19-15 (55.9%) for a solid profit of $168.

    The NHL Playoffs have featured some very tight lines posted by oddsmakers, which has led to lower volume for the Predictalator. That hasn't let to less profits though. The Predictalator has posted 10 NHL positions (ML, O/U, or PL) in May, going 8-2 (80%) on those positions for a profit of $87. It is rare to find a big edge in the NHL this late in the year, but the Predictalator continues to chip away on small edges to provide solid returns.

    Check out the Shop now to learn more.

    Recommended Features

    LOGIN

    LATEST ARTICLES

    MLB - The So What?
    We use 50,000 simulations of the rest of the MLB season to analyze major personnel changes, including the recent injury to Braves first baseman Freddie Freeman.

    MLB Risers & Fallers - Power Rankings
    Mark Dankenbring discusses the biggest risers and fallers in our MLB Power Rankings over the course of the past week.

    FIND US ONLINE


    SportsRadar


    All registered accounts are subject to our General Terms Of Service. Content is intended for informational purposes only. This is not a gambling website.

    FSTA Member 2015
    Home | The Predictalator | Blog | Privacy |  Media Contact |  B2B Solutions |  Sitemap |  Customer Support | 
    © 2010-2015 PredictionMachine.com, LLC. All rights reserved. | Site Designed by Randombell.com