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    MEAC (03/08/14)

    John Ewing, Director of Research and Analytics, @johnewing
    By John Ewing
    Championship Week – which teams will win automatic bids to the NCAA tournament? We simulated each conference tournament to find out.


     
    Conference tournaments are the unofficial start of March Madness. Over the next two weeks, single-elimination tournaments will be played with automatic bids to the NCAA tournament at stake.
     
    We have simulated each conference tournament using our Bracket Simulator to predict which teams will punch their ticket to the Big Dance. The Bracket Simulator is a free tool that gives you the power to simulate the postseason for any sport. Create your own bracket now!
     
    PredictionMachine.com has been very profitable in conference tournaments. All-time on the site, "normal" or better conference tournament picks are 84-54 (61% ATS and O/U), through 2013. For access to conference tournament picks, click here.
     
    When: March 10-15
     
    Where: Norfolk, Va.
     
    The automatic bid goes to: N.C. Central (49.4%)
     
    The Eagles have not lost since January and are riding a 17 game winning streak. N.C. Central is the favorite to win the MEAC Championship; the automatic bid would give the Eagles their first NCAA Tournament appearance. If N.C. Central goes dancing they could be dangerous as the Eagles defeated N.C. State and kept it respectable against Wichita State during the regular season.
     
    And if they lose: Hampton (15.0%)
     
    The Pirates want another crack at the NCAA Tournament, Hampton has been part of March Madness four times since 2000. The Pirates can be bracket busters too, in the 2001 bracket Hampton upset No. 2 seed Iowa State.  
     
    Bid Thief:
     
    Morgan State: If the Bears can win the MEAC Tournament, Morgan State would become the tenth team to enter the NCAA Tournament with a losing record.
     
    Odds to win the MEAC (based on 50,000 simulations of the conference tournament) 

    Seed Team Final Title Game Champ.
    1 N.C Central 87.6 67.5 49.4
    8/9 Howard/N.C. A&T 12.4 3.5 0.7
    4/13 Norfolk/Md.E.Shore 56.0 17.3 8.4
    5/12 Savannah St./S.C. State 44.0 11.7 6.0
    3 Morgan St. 63.2 34.4 12.5
    6/11 Florida A&M/Delaware St.  36.8 14.2 3.9
    2 Hampton 64.8 36.2 15.0
    7/10 Coppin St./Beth.-Cook 35.2 15.2 4.1

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