New User? Sign Up / Forgot Your Password?
All Live
    All Live Projections

    Bargain Shopping for SF (01/20/16)

    By Tom W. Brewer @Tom_W_Brewer
    NBA DFS - Bargain Shopping for Small Forwards.

    Welcome to our third installment of NBA Daily Fantasy bargain shopping. If you've been playing DFS long enough, you know that when it comes to building a roster, it's the second line guys who can be the difference between winning and losing. Today, we'll be looking at some small forwards who'll help you win without devouring your salary cap.

    A quick explanation before we get down to business. A friend asked me the other day what I mean by “bargain” players, as he equates the word “bargain” with K-Mart (the discount store, not Kevin Martin) and doesn't want to gamble on “K-Mart players,” especially not Kevin Martin. So let's clarify what we talk about when we talk about DFS bargains. If you go to our Daily Optimizer and sort by salary, you'll notice a drop-off in talent around the $7,000-$7,500 mark. By and large, the players at and above that salary are your no-brainers, the elite players who give you consistent production.

    We'll be focusing on the players a tier below that. We'll be shopping smart for players who consistently score 15+ fantasy points a night without accounting for much more than 10% of your salary cap. To learn more about how to spend your fantasy money wisely, check out our Winning Strategies.

    Enough chalk talk. Let's get to it.

    1. Chandler Parsons – Dallas Mavericks

    Most Recent Salaries: $5,300 (DraftKings), $5,500 (FanDuel), $19 (Yahoo)

    The Lowdown: Parsons hasn't quite been the difference-maker Dallas expected him to be when Mark Cuban signed him to a contract in a nightclub back in July of 2014. It's not for lack of talent; injuries have kept Parsons off the court. He had knee surgery last offseason, leading head coach Rick Carlisle to rein in his minutes to start this season, sometimes sitting him for entire quarters. Recently, though, the sharp-shooting Parsons has returned to form. He's playing 30 minutes a game, ranks just outside the top 25 among SFs in scoring and he's in the top 15 in assists. Parsons is averaging around 18 fantasy points for the season, even though his minutes were way down to start the year. Grab him now before his salary skyrockets.

    2. C.J. Miles – Indiana Pacers

    Most Recent Salaries: $5,200 (DraftKings), $4,400 (FanDuel), $19 (Yahoo)

    The Lowdown: The basketball revival is on in Hoosier country. The Pacers remade themselves after a disappointing 2014-2015 campaign, and they're currently in the thick of the playoff hunt. Most of the headlines go to Indiana's Paul George and Monta Ellis, but C.J. Miles is having a career year. He ranks in the top 15 in scoring at his position, despite starting just 24 of the team's 37 games. Even when Miles comes off the bench, he consistently plays 25+ minutes a night, and puts up around 20 fantasy points.

    3. Luol Deng – Miami Heat

    Most Recent Salaries:
    $4,500 (DraftKings), $4,300 (FanDuel), $16 (Yahoo)

    The Lowdown: It's difficult to remember the NBA without Luol Deng. The eleven-year vet is currently locking down opposing ball handlers in Miami, helping Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh claw their way back to the top of the heap in the Eastern Conference. Deng has never been his team's first offensive option, but he's made a career out of being a smart, willing defender, an intelligent passer, and a decent rebounder. He ranks in the top 25 small forwards in points and rebounds, and averages over 19 fantasy points a night, including 20+ in three of his last five. Still playing over 30 minutes per game, Deng is a great value for his salary.

    4. Al-Farouq Aminu – Portland Trailblazers

    Most Recent Salaries:
    $5,100 (DraftKings), $5,300 (FanDuel), $18 (Yahoo)

    The Lowdown: The Blazers went through a complete makeover in the offseason, losing LaMarcus Aldridge, Aaron Afflalo, Nic Batum, Robin Lopez, and Wesley Matthews. American Horror Story casts don't go through that many changes. Currently ninth in the Western Conference, the 19-25 Trailblazers have found a do-everything guy in small forward Al-Farouq Aminu. Nothing is remarkable about Aminu's game except his consistency. Night in and night out, you can count on him to score about ten points, grab six to seven rebounds, get an assist or two, and take care of the basketball. He's a consistent fantasy player, too, chalking up between 20-23 points per game.

    5. Robert Covington - Philadelphia 76ers

    Most Recent Salaries:
    $5,000 (DraftKings), $4,600 (FanDuel), $19 (Yahoo)

    The Lowdown: Robert Covington is proof that Philly's players are still playing hard for head coach Brett Brown despite an abysmal 5-29 record. Covington does a bit of everything. Among small forwards, he's top five in steals, top twelve in blocks, top 20 in rebounds, and a hair outside the top 20 in scoring. He's seeing more minutes in recent games, and it's paying off from a fantasy perspective: he has scored 20 fantasy points in four straight games. After a down December, Covington appears to be playing with confidence in 2016.

    Small forward is a loaded position in the Association; this list could literally be twice as long. Take some time to sift through matchups and spend your salary wisely so you can play smart and get money.

    Print This Article
    January's Top 5 (01/27/16)
    3 Players to Target (01/13/16)
    Want More Tips and Information? Click To Register!





    The Predictalator

    The Predictalator is the most advanced sports forecasting software available today because it has the ability to account for all of the relevant statistical interactions of the players, coaches, officials, home field advantage and weather in each game.

    Picks for every game, including our Play Value Key and Calculator recommendations for optimal bankroll management and access to the Play Analyzer can be purchased in the Shop or by game here.

    04/24/2017 Highlight: With baseball season now in full swing, we can leverage our ResultsFinder tool to profile our season-to-date numbers. MLB sides, totals, and run lines have all been profitable to date, generating a total of $580 for an average $50 bettor. There are have been a total of nine "normal" or better positions year-to-date, and those positions are a sparkling 8-1 (88.9%), producing $393 in total profits. There is a ton of variance in baseball and there will be ups-and-downs along the way, but the early returns on the Predictalator's baseball projections are promising.

    The NBA Playoffs tipped off this week and the Predictalator is off to a stellar start. With a full season's worth of data to work with, the Predictalator has historically fared very well in the postseason across all sports, and this year has been no different. NBA playoff sides are 9-7 (56.3%) ATS, while NBA playoff totals are 15-9 (62.5%) through Sunday's action. A $50 bettor would have amassed $401 in total profits through the first week of the postseason alone.

    Check out the Shop now to learn more.

    Recommended Features



    NHL Playoff Probabilities - Updated 4/24
    We simulate the rest of the NHL playoffs 50,000 times to provide each remaining team's updated probability of reaching each level of the postseason.

    NBA Four Quarters
    Sean Pyritz breaks down the first round of the NBA Playoffs thus far and hands out his Sixth Man of the Week award.



    All registered accounts are subject to our General Terms Of Service. Content is intended for informational purposes only. This is not a gambling website.

    FSTA Member 2015
    Home | The Predictalator | Blog | Privacy |  Media Contact |  B2B Solutions |  Sitemap |  Customer Support | 
    © 2010-2015, LLC. All rights reserved. | Site Designed by