New User? Sign Up / Forgot Your Password?
All Live
    All Live Projections

    College Football Picks - 1/4/2013

    Last Updated: 1/1/2013 at 4:00 PM ET

    College Football Picks Pages:
    January 4: Predictalator Picks  Paul's Analysis
    All Bowl Games: Predictalator Picks
    Play Analyzer - View Updated Picks on Current Consensus Lines
    Customize the Predictalator - Play the Games with Any Lines
    Buy Picks

    Learn more about the Predictalator Picks, Customizable Predictalator and Play Analyzer with this Tutorial Video.

    One team covers the spread 57%+ in today's bowl game to qualify as a Paul's Pick for Friday, January 4.

    Meineke Car Care Bowl: Oklahoma +4.5 vs. Texas A&M (Covers 57.3%)

    The Vitals:
    Projected Score: OU 39.6 - TexA&M 37.6
    SU Pick and Win%: OU wins 51.9%
    SU Confidence Rank (of 35 bowls): #33
    ATS Pick and Win%: OU +4.5 covers 57.3%
    ATS Confidence Rank (of 35 bowls): #10
    ATS Wager for $50 Player: $52
    O/U Pick and Win%: OVER (71.5) covers 56.1%
    O/U Confidence Rank (of 35 bowls): 16
    O/U Wager for $50 Player: $39

    The Teams:

      OU TEXA&M
    Record 10-2 10-2
    Avg. Points For vs. Against 40.3-24.2 44.8-22.5
    Strength of Schedule Rank (of all FBS): #4 #24
    Passing Efficiency Rank (of 120 in SOS-adjusted metric): #6 #9
    Rushing Efficiency Rank #12 #3
    Pass Defense Efficiency Rank #16 #35
    Rush Defense Efficiency Rank #70 #27
    Pass/Run Ratio 57%/43% 49%/51%
    Turnover Margin Rank #88 #88

    The Breakdown:
    It used to be a classic Big 12 game. Now it may be the most classic of the 2012-13 bowl season games. Texas A&M and Oklahoma meet in a Cotton Bowl matchup that could be one of the higher scoring and most dramatic of all of the bowls. In the projected outcome, the current Big 12 team upsets the former Big 12 (and current SEC) team with an explosive pass offense and some matchup advantages that work in the Sooners' favor.

    With two top 25 schedules and each of these teams' two losses coming against teams that currently rank in the top ten overall in our updated college football power rankings, Oklahoma and Texas A&M have similar win-loss resumes on the year. Styles make fights though and, in this case, the team that can more effectively move the ball through the air and make big plays in the passing game - when all else is essentially equal - is the team that is in the slightly better position to win. That's true in most evenly-matched situations and is even more apt in a likely shootout.

    Led by senior starting quarterback Landry Jones, Oklahoma, which passes the ball 57% of the time and ranks as the sixth most efficient is matched up against the 35th ranked pass efficiency defense (now playing in the SEC instead of the pass-heavy Big 12, the Aggies' opponents only passed on 49.3% of their plays against Texas A&M this season). Jones is looking to win his fourth straight bowl game as the Oklahoma starting quarterback.

    With Heisman Trophy winner Johnny Manziel at the helm, Texas A&M runs a balanced offense that ranks as the ninth most efficient through the air in the country. While that is obviously good, it's not as strong as Jones and the Sooners and the Aggies have a much more difficult matchup going up against a Sooners defense that ranks as one of the top defenses against the pass in FBS (#16 of 124 teams). 

    The strongest case that can be made about the Cotton Bowl is that it should be a high-scoring, evenly matched shootout where neither team deserves to be a 4.5 point favorite (as Texas A&M is right now). The Sooners have a good chance to win this game and should (as they do 57% of the time) keep the game within the line. 

    College Football Picks Pages:
    January 4: Predictalator Picks  Paul's Analysis
    All Bowl Games: Predictalator Picks
    Play Analyzer - View Updated Picks on Current Consensus Lines
    Customize the Predictalator - Play the Games with Any Lines
    Buy Picks

    Print This Article
    NFL Picks Week 5
    Want More Tips and Information? Click To Register!



    The Predictalator

    College Football Power Rankings:

    1) Baylor
    2) Oklahoma
    3) Alabama
    4) Ohio State
    5) USC
    6) LSU
    7) TCU
    8) Ole Miss
    9) Georgia
    10) Stanford

    See all 128 teams here.

    10/5/2015 Highlight: In College Football all "normal" or better (greater than 57% to cover) over/under picks went 8-5 (62% O/U), while the Lock of the Week, Iowa +7.5, won outright over Wisconsin by a score of 10-6. These two types of plays have been consistently strong all-time with College Football. Locks of the Week are now 55-27 all-time (67% ATS) and featured, "normal" or better over/under plays are 377-280 (57% O/U).

    Check out the Shop or Individual Picks pages now to learn more.

    Recommended Features



    NFL Picks - Week 5
    The Predictalator has played this week's NFL games 50,000 times. See the Washington Redskins @ Atlanta Falcons and more.

    College Picks - Week 6
    The Predictalator has played this week's FBS college football games 50,000 times. See Georgia Tech @ Clemson and more.



    All registered accounts are subject to our General Terms Of Service. Content is intended for informational purposes only. This is not a gambling website.

    FSTA Member 2015
    Home | The Predictalator | Blog | Privacy |  Media Contact |  B2B Solutions |  Sitemap |  Customer Support | 
    © 2010-2015, LLC. All rights reserved. | Site Designed by