New User? Sign Up / Forgot Your Password?
All Live
Projections
    All Live Projections

    Peterson Playing (11/18/14)

    By John Ewing Director of Research and Analytics @johnewing
    Does Adrian Peterson's suspension matter?



    The NFL, now, more than ever, is a quarterback league. Offenses have shifted toward mores shotgun and multiple receivers sets and away from the ground and pound of yesteryear.

    Some organizations (Dallas, Seattle and Kansas City) have found success building around workhorse running backs (DeMarco Murray, Marshawn Lynch and Jamaal Charles), but the three best teams in our Power Rankings are top ten in offensive passing efficiency.

    Do NFL running backs really matter anymore? Does Adrian Peterson's suspension really impact the Vikings' season?

    Adrian Peterson is one of the best running backs in the game. Peterson has missed nine games this year and the NFL plans to ban the running back for the remainder of the season due to off-the-field issues. The Minnesota Vikings are 4-6 and outside the playoff picture.

    For as great as Adrian Peterson has been in his career, if he played all season, would Peterson really make a difference to the Vikings' playoff chances?

    To find out we ran 50,000 simulations of the Minnesota Vikings 2014 season with Adrian Peterson playing. Note: Teddy Bridgewater plays the full season in the simulations.

    With Adrian Peterson, the Vikings finish third in the NFC North with a 7.5-8.5 projected record. Peterson is projected to finish third (behind DeMarco Murray and Le'Veon Bell) in the league in rushing with 1,553.3 yards and 14.4 touchdowns.

    Without Peterson, Minnesota is currently projected to finish last in the NFC North with a 6.6-9.4 record. The Vikings have a 1.6 percent chance of reaching the playoffs and a 0.1 percent chance of winning the Super Bowl.

    Adrian Peterson is a talented running back, but as a running back he has less impact on a season than the casual fan might expect. Unfortunately for Minnesota, even if Peterson had played all season the Vikings would not be a playoff team.


    Print This Article
    PREVIOUS ARTICLE
    NFL Trends Week 12 (11/19/14)
    NEXT ARTICLE
    Rams in the NFC South (11/18/14)
    Want More Tips and Information? Click To Register!

    COMMENTS

    SEARCH BLOGS

    ARCHIVE

    Ad

    The Predictalator

    05/10/2017 Highlight: With baseball season now into its second month, we can leverage our ResultsFinder tool to profile our season-to-date numbers. MLB sides and totals continue to remain extremely profitable despite a recent run of bad variance to start May. The Predictalator's record of 272-250 on sides and totals this season doesn't look all that impressive, but that's because the simulations have sided with underdogs more often than favorites. Through May 9, the Predictalator has generated $547 for an average $50 bettor. "Normal" or better sides, totals, and run lines (our strongest edges) are 14-10 (+$118) season-to-date.

    Check out the Shop now to learn more.

    Recommended Features

    LOGIN

    LATEST ARTICLES

    MLB - The So What?
    We use 50,000 simulations of the rest of the MLB season to analyze major personnel changes, including the recent injury to Braves first baseman Freddie Freeman.

    MLB Risers & Fallers - Power Rankings
    Mark Dankenbring discusses the biggest risers and fallers in our MLB Power Rankings over the course of the past week.

    FIND US ONLINE


    SportsRadar


    All registered accounts are subject to our General Terms Of Service. Content is intended for informational purposes only. This is not a gambling website.

    FSTA Member 2015
    Home | The Predictalator | Blog | Privacy |  Media Contact |  B2B Solutions |  Sitemap |  Customer Support | 
    © 2010-2015 PredictionMachine.com, LLC. All rights reserved. | Site Designed by Randombell.com