Paul Bessire, who built the Predictalator, is one of the foremost authorities on mathematically modeling and analyzing all sports. For more than nine years since earning his Master's degree in Quantitative Analysis (with a focus on Finance and Sports), he has turned what was his longtime hobby of predicting and writing about sports outcomes into his full-time profession.
Over that time period, Paul has had great success, accurately choosing the winner of: seven of the last ten Super Bowls (nine of ten against-the-spread); seven of the last ten World Series, including the Yankees' 2009 win in exactly six and the 2006 Cardinals win in exactly five; and seven of the last ten NCAA Tournament champions (as of Selection Sunday). Paul has maintained that success, accurately predicting all 35 of 44 NFL playoff games since the site's launch against-the-spread, hitting more than 65% against-the-spread with football Locks of the Week, over 57% with "normal" or better picks all-time in the NFL, NBA and MLB combined and over 53% with all playable picks.
For the 2009 NFL season, Paul also bested over 100 professional prognosticators in the inaugural Richard Gardner Pro Football Pick'em contest.
Previous to starting PredictionMachine.com, Paul served as the Product Manager of Quantitative Analysis and Content for FoxSports Interactive. There, Paul was responsible for the math behind the historical simulation sports games at WhatIfSports.com as well as any FoxSports.com, Scout.com or WhatIfSports.com articles that were created from that technology. In that role, Paul wrote over 1,000 articles and conducted more than 500 radio interviews (numbers that grown by 10X since starting PredictionMachine.com in 2010). He has also collaborated on countless other print, online and TV features with many of the most recognized members of the sports media (more info here), some sports leagues and teams and many of the best minds in the sports analysis business.
PredictionMachine.com is Paul Bessire's latest endeavor, which features the Predictalator – the most in-depth, state-of-the-art sports prediction software ever created.
Before using statistics to forecast game outcomes professionally, Paul was always working on ways to apply the financial modeling and predictive methods he learned while graduating in Finance and Quantitative Analysis as an undergraduate student. A Master's degree in Quantitative Analysis, where Paul penned the thesis, Measuring Individual and Team Effectiveness in the NBA Through Multivariate Regression, led Paul away from the world of finance, to the interesting and ever-evolving world of sports analysis, where past performance can be more indicative of future outcomes and talking about the job is a lot more fun. Many of the same principles with which Paul excelled in school related to effective business and financial strategies have even stronger applications to sports.
Paul's expertise covers just about every major professional and collegiate US sport including the NFL, college football, college basketball, MLB, NBA, NHL, PGA and poker (probably in that order). While he could rely on the numbers and do this job without ever watching a game, (much to the joy of his wife,) he watches and follows everything. With that expertise and knowledge also comes fantasy sports success, where Paul has also competed and advised as a fantasy "expert" in fantasy football, baseball and basketball as well as pick'em contests in every sport.
Paul is also currently an adjunct professor at the University of Cincinnati, acting as a professor of Bracketology in the Lindner College of Business and as a guest lecturer for Sports By the Numbers. Bracketology is a three week class around the NCAA tournament that focuses on the big business of collegiate athletics in addition to the statistical discussions around how to choose and seed the field as well as how best to fill out a bracket after the field is announced. During one eight hour class before Selection Sunday, groups of ten students form mock selection committees and go through the same process as the actual selection committee. In 2013, though the actual selection committee broke rules pertaining to regular season rematches in the second round and number of teams from the same conference within the same pod, none of the five mock selection committees in the class broke any of the committees rules.
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To learn more about this site, read About PredictionMachine.com and About the Predictalator.