New User? Sign Up / Forgot Your Password?
All Live
Projections
    All Live Projections

    ACC Tourney (03/09/15)

    By John Ewing Director of Research and Analytics @johnewing
    Championship Week – which teams will win automatic bids to the NCAA tournament? We simulated each conference tournament to find out.



    Conference tournaments are the unofficial start of March Madness. In the last week before Selection Sunday, single-elimination tournaments will be played with automatic bids to the NCAA tournament at stake.

    We have simulated each conference tournament using our Bracket Simulator to predict which teams will punch their ticket to the Big Dance. The Bracket Simulator is a free tool that gives you the power to simulate the postseason for any sport. Create your own bracket now!

    PredictionMachine.com has been very profitable in conference tournaments. All-time on the site, "normal" or better conference tournament picks are 97-70 (58% ATS and O/U), through 2014. For access to conference tournament picks, click here.

    When: March 10-14

    Where: Greensboro, N.C.

    The automatic bid goes to: Duke (30.7%)

    The Blue Devils are 5/4 favorites (per Bovada.lv) to win the ACC Tournament. While Duke has won 19 ACC Tournament titles, most in league history, Coach K's team has stiff competition this year. Virginia, the No. 1 seed in the tournament, is ranked higher in our Power Rankings and is more likely to advance in each round of the tournament than Duke. However, in the most likely title game, the Blue Devils defeat the Cavaliers 59% of the time by an average score of 68.0-65.3.

    And if they lose: Virginia (29.4%)

    The Cavaliers are the top seed in the tournament for the second year in a row and are looking to repeat as champions for the first time in school history. If Tony Bennett's squad wants the crown it'll have to go through Duke and ACC Player of the Year Jahlil Okafor.

    Bid Thief:

    Miami (FL): The top six most likely tournament champions are all locks to make the Big Dance. The Hurricanes are firmly on the bubble. Miami will need a deep run in Greensboro (only a 21% chance to reach the semifinals) to hear its name called on Selection Sunday.

    Odds to win the ACC Tournament (based on 50,000 simulations of the conference tournament)

    Seed Team Quarterfinals Semifinals Title Game Champ.
    2 Duke 100.0 73.3 47.3 30.7
    1 Virginia 100.0 82.6 56.5 29.4
    3 Notre Dame 100.0 72.0 35.0 18.6
    5 UNC 77.3 43.4 18.7 8.0
    4 Louisville 100.0 49.1 18.1 6.5
    7 NC State 57.7 16.4 6.8 2.3
    6 Miami (FL) 65.9 20.9 6.0 1.7
    10 Pittsburgh 42.3 10.3 3.9 1.2
    8 Clemson 55.2 10.3 3.0 0.6
    9 Fla. St. 44.8 7.1 2.0 0.4
    11 Wake Forest 21.1 4.4 0.7 0.3
    13 Ga. Tech. 12.5 4.1 1.0 0.2
    12 Boston College 10.2 3.4 0.7 0.1
    14 Va. Tech 13.0 2.7 0.3 0.0

    Print This Article
    PREVIOUS ARTICLE
    Big Ten Tourney (03/09/15)
    NEXT ARTICLE
    Colonial Tourney (03/06/15)
    Want More Tips and Information? Click To Register!

    COMMENTS

    SEARCH BLOGS

    ARCHIVE

    Ad

    The Predictalator

    07/17/2017 Highlight: In college football, "normal" or better totals are 58% all-time and have been profitable in five of the previous seven years. Meanwhile, our strongest ATS pick each week in college football is 69-40 (63% ATS) all-time. With college football season win totals being posted this week, we can also note that last season, playable win total picks in went 28-19 (60% O/U) to turn a profit of +$899 for a normal $50 player using our play value recommendations.

    Check out the Shop now to learn more.

    Recommended Features

    LOGIN

    LATEST ARTICLES

    College Win Total Picks (5 Books) - 2017 Preview
    Over/Under Season Win Total picks are now available for every college football team at five different books.

    MLB - The So What?
    We use 50,000 simulations of the rest of the MLB season to analyze the impacts of various roster changes, including injuries to Carlos Correa and Michael Pineda.

    FIND US ONLINE


    SportsRadar


    All registered accounts are subject to our General Terms Of Service. Content is intended for informational purposes only. This is not a gambling website.

    FSTA Member 2015
    Home | The Predictalator | Blog | Privacy |  Media Contact |  B2B Solutions |  Sitemap |  Customer Support | 
    © 2010-2015 PredictionMachine.com, LLC. All rights reserved. | Site Designed by Randombell.com