New User? Sign Up / Forgot Your Password?
All Live
Projections
    All Live Projections

    Fantasy Sleepers (08/06/14)

    John Ewing, Director of Research and Analytics, @johnewing
    By John Ewing
    2014 fantasy football sleepers, busts and breakout players.



    Fantasy season is upon us and owners are always looking for an edge in their drafts. With that in mind, over the next few days we will provide our picks for 2014 sleepers, busts and breakout players based on PredictionMachine.com's 2014 Fantasy Football Rankings.

    Here is how we define each:

    Sleeper: A player not being drafted as a fantasy starter, but should be.

    Bust: A player drafted as a fantasy starter, but will disappoint.

    Breakout Player: A player we project to finish in the top five at his position, but is not currently being drafted like a superstar.

    Note: Average draft position (ADP) is a composite of rankings from ESPN and Yahoo. Be sure to use the new Fantasy Football Draft Machine for an additional edge in all your drafts.

    First up, 2014 sleepers…

    Philip Rivers
    2014 projections: 3,957.8 passing yards, 29.2 TDs, 13.4 INTs
    2014 ADP: 14th quarterback, 107th overall
    2014 PredictionMachine.com rankings: 13th quarterback, 66th overall

    We project Rivers to finish with more fantasy points than Robert Griffin III and Colin Kaepernick, two quarterbacks going five rounds earlier than the Chargers signal caller. Rivers first season in Mike McCoy's offense proved fruitful (4,478 passing yards and 32 touchdowns) and with the emergency of Keenan Allen, Rivers is set to produce another top ten fantasy season.

    Matt Ryan
    2014 projections: 4,150.7 passing yards, 28.6 TDs, 15.8 INTs
    2014 ADP: 12th quarterback, 89th overall
    2014 PredictionMachine.com rankings: 7th quarterback, 56th overall

    Did you know Atlanta's quarterback finished fourth in the NFL in passing yards (4,478) last season? Think what he could do with full seasons from Julio Jones and Roddy White! Ryan should also benefit from a healthy and updated line (allowed 44 sacks last season).

    Joique Bell
    2014 projections: 837.7 rushing yards, 295.0 receiving yards, 8.6 total TDs
    2014 ADP: 28th running back, 76th overall
    2014 PredictionMachine.com rankings: 15th running back, 35th overall

    Everyone is drafting the wrong Lions running back. Bush is going four rounds earlier than Bell even though the Detroit duo is expected to split touches this season. Bell is the more productive runner and it would not surprise us if he supplanted Bush as the starter.

    Chris Johnson
    2014 projections: 920.5 rushing yards, 343.6 receiving yards, 8.0 total TDs
    2014 ADP: 22nd running back, 57th overall
    2014 PredictionMachine.com rankings: 17th running back, 34th overall

    Johnson is a few years removed from being CJ2K but we aren't asking him to be a first round pick. Johnson was taken as the 24th back in last year's draft but finished in the top ten producing great value for owners. Expect more of the same from the former Titans star.

    Lamar Miller
    2014 projections: 844.4 rushing yards, 159.7.0 receiving yards, 8.5 total TDs
    2014 ADP: 43rd running back, 123rd overall
    2014 PredictionMachine.com rankings: 25th running back, 47th overall

    The addition of Knowshon Moreno has deflated Miller's value entering the season. That is great news! Moreno is an injury risk that had a career year in 2013 playing with Peyton Manning (read: not a threat). Miller is the starter and is currently going in the 12th round, seven rounds later than where we project him to finish among running backs.



    Rueben Randle
    2014 projections: 1,098.4 receiving yards, 7.9 TDs
    2014 ADP: 53rd receiver, 141st overall
    2014 PredictionMachine.com rankings: 16th receiver, 50th overall

    Rueben Randle is this year's Alshon Jeffery. The Giants' receiver is going in the 14th round or later in drafts, yet we have him finishing in the top 15 among receivers. With Hakeem Nicks gone, Randle is going to be the starter on a much improved Giant team, top ten in our preseason rankings.

    Mike Wallace
    2014 projections: 977.0 receiving yards, 6.2 TDs
    2014 ADP: 34th receiver, 90th overall
    2014 PredictionMachine.com rankings: 27th receiver, 87th overall

    Wallace is another player that disappointed owners last season and as such, his draft position has suffered. That's perfect, we are targeting players that the public overlooks. Wallace is currently being drafted in the 9th round, but with an improving Ryan Tannehill (2012: 3,330, 12 TDs, 2013: 3,900 yards, 24 TDs) we project the Dolphins' receiver to bring great fantasy value in 2014.

    Golden Tate
    2014 projections: 1,040.3 receiving yards, 6.1 TDs
    2014 ADP: 33rd receiver, 88th overall
    2014 PredictionMachine.com rankings: 19th receiver, 69th overall

    We are anticipating a career year for Tate after escaping Seattle's run heavy offense and getting to play across from Calvin Johnson. We project Tate to have career highs in receptions and yards. Tate is being drafted in the 8th round or later, but should be drafted like Wes Welker, Keenan Allen and Roddy White.

    Ladarius Green
    2014 projections: 752.4 receiving yards, 4.5 TDs
    2014 ADP: 19th tight end, 145th overall
    2014 PredictionMachine.com rankings: 12th tight end, 119th overall

    Standing at 6'6" and with 4.53 40 speed, Green is an all upside play. If Antonio Gates misses any time look for the Chargers backup tight end to become a fantasy stud.


    Print This Article
    PREVIOUS ARTICLE
    Fantasy Busts (08/07/14)
    NEXT ARTICLE
    Fantasy Review (08/04/14)
    Want More Tips and Information? Click To Register!

    COMMENTS

    SEARCH BLOGS

    ARCHIVE

    Ad

    The Predictalator

    The Predictalator is the most advanced sports forecasting software available today because it has the ability to account for all of the relevant statistical interactions of the players, coaches, officials, home field advantage and weather in each game.

    Picks for every game, including our Play Value Key and Calculator recommendations for optimal bankroll management and access to the Play Analyzer can be purchased in the Shop or by game here.

    04/24/2017 Highlight: With baseball season now in full swing, we can leverage our ResultsFinder tool to profile our season-to-date numbers. MLB sides, totals, and run lines have all been profitable to date, generating a total of $580 for an average $50 bettor. There are have been a total of nine "normal" or better positions year-to-date, and those positions are a sparkling 8-1 (88.9%), producing $393 in total profits. There is a ton of variance in baseball and there will be ups-and-downs along the way, but the early returns on the Predictalator's baseball projections are promising.

    The NBA Playoffs tipped off this week and the Predictalator is off to a stellar start. With a full season's worth of data to work with, the Predictalator has historically fared very well in the postseason across all sports, and this year has been no different. NBA playoff sides are 9-7 (56.3%) ATS, while NBA playoff totals are 15-9 (62.5%) through Sunday's action. A $50 bettor would have amassed $401 in total profits through the first week of the postseason alone.

    Check out the Shop now to learn more.

    Recommended Features

    LOGIN

    LATEST ARTICLES

    MLB Risers & Fallers - Power Rankings
    Mark Dankenbring discusses the biggest risers and fallers in our MLB Power Rankings over the course of the past week.

    NHL Playoff Probabilities - Updated 4/24
    We simulate the rest of the NHL playoffs 50,000 times to provide each remaining team's updated probability of reaching each level of the postseason.

    FIND US ONLINE


    SportsRadar


    All registered accounts are subject to our General Terms Of Service. Content is intended for informational purposes only. This is not a gambling website.

    FSTA Member 2015
    Home | The Predictalator | Blog | Privacy |  Media Contact |  B2B Solutions |  Sitemap |  Customer Support | 
    © 2010-2015 PredictionMachine.com, LLC. All rights reserved. | Site Designed by Randombell.com