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NFL Preview: In-Depth Analysis

Last updated on 8/6/2014
Last Updated: 9/8/2014 11:15 AM ET

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The Predictalator has already played the 2014 NFL season 50,000 times before it's actually played. The Denver Broncos lead the way as the most likely Super Bowl Champions, winning it all a league-high 25.1% of the time. In the most likely Super Bowl, in a reversal of fortunes from last season, the vastly improved Broncos defeat the Seattle Seahawks 52.9% of the time and by an average score of 24-23. Seattle, the NFC's second-seed, but best overall team, wins the Super Bowl 22.6% of the time. The NFC's top seeded New Orleans Saints (15.8%), who only play three games against teams we project to make the playoffs, follow the Seahawks and Broncos in Super Bowl likelihood. Among other teams, only the AFC's second-seeded New England Patriots (8.8%) have better than a four percent (or 1-in-25) shot to win it all. There are 11 teams that win the championship between 1% and 4% of the time, including some teams that did not even make the playoffs last year like the Houston Texans, New York Giants, Washington Redskins and Arizona Cardinals.

Below, we explain How This Works and break down every team division-by-division. In each team's preview, the "Most Important" players are those whose play is most critical to the team's success. Typically, they will be young, injury-prone and/or inconsistent players who could just as likely play well and help the team as play poorly or miss games to hurt the team. Also, the Offensive and Defensive Rankings are based on how many points a team would score (offense) or allow (defense) if each team played the same, league-average schedule.

Since launching in January 2010, this technology is over 60% against-the-spread with NFL Locks of the Week (52-32 ATS), 55% ATS (551-442 ATS) picking all NFL games, and over 60% ATS and Over/Under (50-33 ATS and O/U) with highlighted NFL picks all-time with greater than 60% confidence. Last season, picking every NFL game, the Predictalator hit 57.4% ATS, then went 9-1-1 (90% ATS) in the postseason. And finally, the Predictalator is now 35-9 against-the-spread in NFL playoff games. Check out the Shop now to learn more.

See: How This Works, Season Summary and Division Previews: AFC East, AFC North, AFC West, AFC South, NFC East, NFC North, NFC West and NFC South

How This Works
Just as the Predictalator plays each individual NFL game 50,000 times before it's actually played, it can also play the entire NFL season 50,000 times before it's actually played. The actual 2014 regular season and playoff schedules have been played 50,000 times, allowing us to compute average records and likelihoods of each team making the playoffs, winning its division and bringing home the Super Bowl trophy.

The Predictalator's technology is built to handle such a demanding task. Making sure that we have the best possible inputs for players' statistics, progression over time and age, roles, health and playing time as well as teams' coaching styles and weather are keys to the accuracy of the output.

In general, we apply strength-of-schedule-adjusted, relevant statistics from every player's career (weighted more heavily on the most recent 16 games) to a fairly traditional player development curve that considers age and previous playing time. Not only does this development curve help to set average inputs, it combines with health history to dictate the variance ("boom or bust" potential) of a player's inputs.

Playing time estimation is more of an art than a science for all players who are expected to see significant starting time in 2014. That being said, gaps have been filled in by our best approximations of average bench and role players on teams.

Once that math and statistical analysis is evaluated, importing a schedule and running the games 50,000 times each is simple.

See: How This Works, Season Summary and Division Previews: AFC East, AFC North, AFC West, AFC South, NFC East, NFC North, NFC West and NFC South

Season Summary

Based on the analysis, here is the projected NFL 2014 Playoff bracket. It should be noted however, that this exact bracket only occurred 402 of the 50,000 seasons played by the Predictalator:

AFC

Wild Card Round
#6 Houston 21 @ #3 Indianapolis 27
#5 San Diego 24 @ #4 Cincinnati 26

Divisional Round
#3 Indianapolis 24 @ #2 New England 30
#4 Cincinnati 21 @ #1 Denver 31

AFC Championship
#2 New England 24 @ #1 Denver 32

NFC

Wild Card Round

#6 Philadelphia 26 @ #3 New York Giants 27
#5 San Francisco 30 @ #4 Green Bay 31

Divisional Round
#4 Green Bay 26 @ #1 New Orleans 33
#3 New York Giants 17 @ #2 Seattle 24

NFC Championship
#2 Seattle 21 @ #1 New Orleans 20

Super Bowl
Denver 24 over Seattle 23

Other Info:
Teams that should surprise (good): Minnesota Vikings, Cleveland Browns, New York Giants, Houston Texans
Teams that should surprise (bad): Chicago Bears, Dallas Cowboys, Carolina Panthers, Kansas City Chiefs
Most Important Player (AFC): Rob Gronkowski, TE, New England Patriots
Most Important Player (NFC): Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers
Most Important Rookie (AFC): Ryan Shazier, OLB, Pittsburgh Steelers
Most Important Rookie (NFC): Brandin Cooks, WR, New Orleans Saints

See: How This Works, Season Summary and Division Previews: AFC East, AFC North, AFC West, AFC South, NFC East, NFC North, NFC West and NFC South

AFC East Preview



New England Patriots
Power Rank: 5
Projected Wins: 10.2
Projected Losses: 5.8
Offensive Rank: 5
Defensive Rank: 14
Division Standing: 1
2013 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 6
Projected 2014 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Playoff Probabilities: 84.1%
Super Bowl Win%: 8.8%
Biggest Strength: Belichick-Brady Brain trust
Greatest Weakness: Defensive Front 7 - Age/Health Concerns
Most Important Offensive Player: Rob Gronkowski
Most Important Defensive Player: Vince Wilfork
Fantasy Stud: Rob Gronkowski
Fantasy Dud: Brandon LaFell
Fantasy Sleeper: James White

Miami Dolphins
Power Rank: 25
Projected Wins: 7.4
Projected Losses: 8.6
Offensive Rank: 24
Defensive Rank: 26
Division Standing: 2
2013 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 6
Projected 2014 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Playoff Probabilities: 26.1%
Super Bowl Win%: 0.4%
Biggest Strength: Balanced and Average to Above Average Elsewhere
Greatest Weakness: Linebacker and Offensive Line
Most Important Offensive Player: Branden Albert
Most Important Defensive Player: Koa Misi
Fantasy Stud: Lamar Miller
Fantasy Dud: Brandon Gibson
Fantasy Sleeper: Lamar Miller

New York Jets
Power Rank: 30
Projected Wins: 6.1
Projected Losses: 9.9
Offensive Rank: 32
Defensive Rank: 18
Division Standing: 3
2013 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 6
Projected 2014 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Playoff Probabilities: 12.2%
Super Bowl Win%: 0.1%
Biggest Strength: All-around Defense
Greatest Weakness: Skill Position Players
Most Important Offensive Player: Geno Smith/Michael Vick
Most Important Defensive Player: Dee Milliner
Fantasy Stud: Eric Decker
Fantasy Dud: Tight Ends
Fantasy Sleeper: Stephen Hill

Buffalo Bills
Power Rank: 29
Projected Wins: 6
Projected Losses: 10
Offensive Rank: 28
Defensive Rank: 23
Division Standing: 4
2013 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 6
Projected 2014 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 6
Playoff Probabilities: 9.1%
Super Bowl Win%: 0.1%
Biggest Strength: Linemen (offensive and defensive)
Greatest Weakness: Passing Game
Most Important Offensive Player: EJ Manuel
Most Important Defensive Player: Brandon Spikes
Fantasy Stud: C.J. Spiller
Fantasy Dud: Tight Ends
Fantasy Sleeper: Robert Woods

See: How This Works, Season Summary and Division Previews: AFC East, AFC North, AFC West, AFC South, NFC East, NFC North, NFC West and NFC South

AFC North Preview



Cincinnati Bengals
Power Rank: 11
Projected Wins: 8.7
Projected Losses: 7.3
Offensive Rank: 19
Defensive Rank: 7
Division Standing: 1
2013 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Projected 2014 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Playoff Probabilities: 55.2%
Super Bowl Win%: 2.3%
Biggest Strength: Overall Balance
Greatest Weakness: Defensive Losses (Coach, Free Agents and Injuries)
Most Important Offensive Player: Andy Dalton
Most Important Defensive Player: Geno Atkins
Fantasy Stud: Giovani Bernard
Fantasy Dud: Jermaine Gresham
Fantasy Sleeper: Jeremy Hill

Baltimore Ravens
Power Rank: 19
Projected Wins: 8.1
Projected Losses: 7.9
Offensive Rank: 20
Defensive Rank: 10
Division Standing: 2
2013 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 6
Projected 2014 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 6
Playoff Probabilities: 43.7%
Super Bowl Win%: 1.0%
Biggest Strength: Defensive Front 7
Greatest Weakness: Running Game
Most Important Offensive Player: Joe Flacco
Most Important Defensive Player: CJ Mosley
Fantasy Stud: Dennis Pitta
Fantasy Dud: Steve Smith
Fantasy Sleeper: Ray Rice

Pittsburgh Steelers
Power Rank: 23
Projected Wins: 7.5
Projected Losses: 8.5
Offensive Rank: 16
Defensive Rank: 29
Division Standing: 3
2013 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 6
Projected 2014 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Playoff Probabilities: 35.3%
Super Bowl Win%: 0.4%
Biggest Strength: Pass Defense
Greatest Weakness: Age and Health Concerns (Still)
Most Important Offensive Player: Maurkice Pouncey
Most Important Defensive Player: Jarvis Jones
Fantasy Stud: Antonio Brown
Fantasy Dud: LeGarrette Blount
Fantasy Sleeper: Markus Wheaton

Cleveland Browns
Power Rank: 28
Projected Wins: 7.4
Projected Losses: 8.6
Offensive Rank: 27
Defensive Rank: 24
Division Standing: 4
2013 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Projected 2014 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Playoff Probabilities: 31.9%
Super Bowl Win%: 0.2%
Biggest Strength: Offensive Line
Greatest Weakness: Lack of Elite Skill Position Players
Most Important Offensive Player: Brian Hoyer/Johnny Manziel
Most Important Defensive Player: Karlos Dansby
Fantasy Stud: Jordan Cameron
Fantasy Dud: Miles Austin
Fantasy Sleeper: Johnny Manziel

See: How This Works, Season Summary and Division Previews: AFC East, AFC North, AFC West, AFC South, NFC East, NFC North, NFC West and NFC South

AFC South Preview



Indianapolis Colts
Power Rank: 10
Projected Wins: 9.2
Projected Losses: 6.8
Offensive Rank: 10
Defensive Rank: 15
Division Standing: 1
2013 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 4
Projected 2014 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 7
Playoff Probabilities: 68.6%
Super Bowl Win%: 3.3%
Biggest Strength: Andrew Luck and the Passing Game
Greatest Weakness: Running Game (Offense and Defense)
Most Important Offensive Player: Trent Richardson
Most Important Defensive Player: Erik Walden
Fantasy Stud: Andrew Luck
Fantasy Dud: Defense
Fantasy Sleeper: Dwayne Allen

Houston Texans
Power Rank: 20
Projected Wins: 8.3
Projected Losses: 7.7
Offensive Rank: 22
Defensive Rank: 9
Division Standing: 2
2013 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 4
Projected 2014 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Playoff Probabilities: 48.8%
Super Bowl Win%: 1.1%
Biggest Strength: Explosive Playmakers (Offense and Defense)
Greatest Weakness: Quarterback
Most Important Offensive Player: Ryan Fitzpatrick/Case Keenum
Most Important Defensive Player: Brian Cushing
Fantasy Stud: Arian Foster
Fantasy Dud: Ryan Fitzpatrick
Fantasy Sleeper: Jonathan Grimes

Tennessee Titans
Power Rank: 27
Projected Wins: 6.5
Projected Losses: 9.5
Offensive Rank: 23
Defensive Rank: 20
Division Standing: 3
2013 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Projected 2014 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 7
Playoff Probabilities: 18.1%
Super Bowl Win%: 0.2%
Biggest Strength: Promising Weapons in Passing Game
Greatest Weakness: Running Game and Quarterback Concerns
Most Important Offensive Player: Jake Locker
Most Important Defensive Player: Blidi Wreh-Wilson
Fantasy Stud: Kendall Wright
Fantasy Dud: Nate Washington
Fantasy Sleeper: Maikon Bonani

Jacksonville Jaguars
Power Rank: 32
Projected Wins: 5.3
Projected Losses: 10.7
Offensive Rank: 31
Defensive Rank: 30
Division Standing: 4
2013 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Projected 2014 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 8
Playoff Probabilities: 5.9%
Super Bowl Win%: 0.0%
Biggest Strength: Cabanas in the Stands
Greatest Weakness: Everything on the Field
Most Important Offensive Player: Cecil Shorts
Most Important Defensive Player: Jonathan Cyprien
Fantasy Stud: Toby Gerhart
Fantasy Dud: Quarterbacks
Fantasy Sleeper: Marqise Lee

See: How This Works, Season Summary and Division Previews: AFC East, AFC North, AFC West, AFC South, NFC East, NFC North, NFC West and NFC South

AFC West Preview



Denver Broncos
Power Rank: 1
Projected Wins: 11.5
Projected Losses: 4.5
Offensive Rank: 1
Defensive Rank: 11
Division Standing: 1
2013 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 9
Projected 2014 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 7
Playoff Probabilities: 94.2%
Super Bowl Win%: 25.1%
Biggest Strength: Peyton Manning (and his weapons)
Greatest Weakness: Defensive Front 7 (Especially given Health Concerns)
Most Important Offensive Player: Montee Ball
Most Important Defensive Player: Von Miller
Fantasy Stud: Peyton Manning
Fantasy Dud: NONE
Fantasy Sleeper: C.J. Anderson

San Diego Chargers
Power Rank: 13
Projected Wins: 8.4
Projected Losses: 7.6
Offensive Rank: 11
Defensive Rank: 16
Division Standing: 2
2013 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 6
Projected 2014 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 4
Playoff Probabilities: 46.6%
Super Bowl Win%: 1.7%
Biggest Strength: Passing Game
Greatest Weakness: Defensive Line
Most Important Offensive Player: Ryan Mathews
Most Important Defensive Player: Brandon Flowers
Fantasy Stud: Keenan Allen
Fantasy Dud: Donald Brown
Fantasy Sleeper: Ladarius Green

Kansas City Chiefs
Power Rank: 24
Projected Wins: 6.8
Projected Losses: 9.2
Offensive Rank: 21
Defensive Rank: 21
Division Standing: 3
2013 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 7
Projected 2014 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 7
Playoff Probabilities: 16.1%
Super Bowl Win%: 0.2%
Biggest Strength: Defensive Front 7
Greatest Weakness: Passing Game
Most Important Offensive Player: Eric Fisher
Most Important Defensive Player: Marcus Cooper
Fantasy Stud: Jamaal Charles
Fantasy Dud: Dwayne Bowe
Fantasy Sleeper: Travis Kelce

Oakland Raiders
Power Rank: 31
Projected Wins: 5.3
Projected Losses: 10.7
Offensive Rank: 29
Defensive Rank: 22
Division Standing: 4
2013 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 9
Projected 2014 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 8
Playoff Probabilities: 4.0%
Super Bowl Win%: 0.0%
Biggest Strength: Defensive Front 7
Greatest Weakness: Everything Else
Most Important Offensive Player: Matt Schaub/Derek Carr
Most Important Defensive Player: Khalil Mack
Fantasy Stud: James Jones
Fantasy Dud: Denarius Moore
Fantasy Sleeper: David Ausberry

See: How This Works, Season Summary and Division Previews: AFC East, AFC North, AFC West, AFC South, NFC East, NFC North, NFC West and NFC South

NFC East Preview



New York Giants
Power Rank: 9
Projected Wins: 8.8
Projected Losses: 7.2
Offensive Rank: 17
Defensive Rank: 4
Division Standing: 1
2013 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Projected 2014 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 6
Playoff Probabilities: 45.7%
Super Bowl Win%: 2.2%
Biggest Strength: Not Terrible at Anything
Greatest Weakness: Not Great at Anything
Most Important Offensive Player: Rashad Jennings
Most Important Defensive Player: Jason-Pierre Paul
Fantasy Stud: Victor Cruz
Fantasy Dud: Tight Ends
Fantasy Sleeper: Defense

Philadelphia Eagles
Power Rank: 8
Projected Wins: 8.8
Projected Losses: 7.2
Offensive Rank: 3
Defensive Rank: 31
Division Standing: 2
2013 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Projected 2014 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 7
Playoff Probabilities: 46.5%
Super Bowl Win%: 2.1%
Biggest Strength: League's Best Offensve Line
Greatest Weakness: Defensive Backfield
Most Important Offensive Player: Jeremy Maclin
Most Important Defensive Player: Malcolm Jenkins
Fantasy Stud: LeSean McCoy
Fantasy Dud: Defense
Fantasy Sleeper: Jordan Matthews

Washington Redskins
Power Rank: 12
Projected Wins: 8.2
Projected Losses: 7.8
Offensive Rank: 7
Defensive Rank: 17
Division Standing: 3
2013 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Projected 2014 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 8
Playoff Probabilities: 35.7%
Super Bowl Win%: 1.2%
Biggest Strength: Explosive Offense (Assuming Everyone Stays Healthy)
Greatest Weakness: Overly Aggressive Secondary (too many big plays allowed)
Most Important Offensive Player: Robert Griffin III
Most Important Defensive Player: Ryan Clark
Fantasy Stud: Jordan Reed
Fantasy Dud: Defense
Fantasy Sleeper: Kirk Cousins

Dallas Cowboys
Power Rank: 26
Projected Wins: 6.1
Projected Losses: 9.9
Offensive Rank: 6
Defensive Rank: 32
Division Standing: 4
2013 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 6
Projected 2014 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 9
Playoff Probabilities: 5.9%
Super Bowl Win%: 0.0%
Biggest Strength: All-around Offense
Greatest Weakness: Everything Else (Defense, Special Teams, Coaches, Front Office and Schedule)
Most Important Offensive Player: DeMarco Murray
Most Important Defensive Player: Henry Melton
Fantasy Stud: Dez Bryant
Fantasy Dud: Defense
Fantasy Sleeper: Lance Dunbar

See: How This Works, Season Summary and Division Previews: AFC East, AFC North, AFC West, AFC South, NFC East, NFC North, NFC West and NFC South

NFC North Preview



Green Bay Packers
Power Rank: 6
Projected Wins: 9.3
Projected Losses: 6.7
Offensive Rank: 2
Defensive Rank: 27
Division Standing: 1
2013 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Projected 2014 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 4
Playoff Probabilities: 61.8%
Super Bowl Win%: 3.1%
Biggest Strength: McCarthy - Rodgers Brain trust
Greatest Weakness: Defensive Front 7
Most Important Offensive Player: Aaron Rodgers
Most Important Defensive Player: Julius Peppers
Fantasy Stud: Aaron Rodgers
Fantasy Dud: Tight Ends
Fantasy Sleeper: Davante Adams

Detroit Lions
Power Rank: 17
Projected Wins: 8.1
Projected Losses: 7.9
Offensive Rank: 9
Defensive Rank: 19
Division Standing: 2
2013 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Projected 2014 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Playoff Probabilities: 33.3%
Super Bowl Win%: 0.5%
Biggest Strength: Explosive Offense
Greatest Weakness: Pass Defense
Most Important Offensive Player: Golden Tate
Most Important Defensive Player: Ziggy Ansah
Fantasy Stud: Calvin Johnson
Fantasy Dud: Brandon Pettigrew
Fantasy Sleeper: Theo Riddick

Minnesota Vikings
Power Rank: 14
Projected Wins: 7.4
Projected Losses: 8.6
Offensive Rank: 14
Defensive Rank: 12
Division Standing: 3
2013 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Projected 2014 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 4
Playoff Probabilities: 25.6%
Super Bowl Win%: 0.5%
Biggest Strength: Adrian Peterson (and the Offensive Line)
Greatest Weakness: Quarterback and Secondary Questions
Most Important Offensive Player: Matt Cassel/Teddy Bridgewater
Most Important Defensive Player: Sharrif Floyd
Fantasy Stud: Adrian Peterson
Fantasy Dud: Defense
Fantasy Sleeper: Kyle Rudolph

Chicago Bears
Power Rank: 21
Projected Wins: 7.2
Projected Losses: 8.8
Offensive Rank: 13
Defensive Rank: 28
Division Standing: 4
2013 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 6
Projected 2014 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Playoff Probabilities: 18.1%
Super Bowl Win%: 0.2%
Biggest Strength: Skill Position Players
Greatest Weakness: Defense (at every level)
Most Important Offensive Player: Jermon Bushrod
Most Important Defensive Player: Charles Tillman
Fantasy Stud: Matt Forte
Fantasy Dud: Defense
Fantasy Sleeper: Ka'Deem Carey

See: How This Works, Season Summary and Division Previews: AFC East, AFC North, AFC West, AFC South, NFC East, NFC North, NFC West and NFC South

NFC South Preview



New Orleans Saints
Power Rank: 3
Projected Wins: 11.4
Projected Losses: 4.6
Offensive Rank: 4
Defensive Rank: 3
Division Standing: 1
2013 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Projected 2014 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 3
Playoff Probabilities: 89.6%
Super Bowl Win%: 15.8%
Biggest Strength: Brees-Payton Brain Trust (Plus Super Easy Schedule)
Greatest Weakness: Linebacker and Offensive Line
Most Important Offensive Player: Terron Armstead
Most Important Defensive Player: Jairus Byrd
Fantasy Stud: Jimmy Graham
Fantasy Dud: Running Back (stay away for now)
Fantasy Sleeper: Brandin Cooks

Carolina Panthers
Power Rank: 15
Projected Wins: 7.7
Projected Losses: 8.3
Offensive Rank: 30
Defensive Rank: 2
Division Standing: 2
2013 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 6
Projected 2014 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 6
Playoff Probabilities: 25.4%
Super Bowl Win%: 0.8%
Biggest Strength: Defensive Front 7
Greatest Weakness: Lack of Weapons or Linemen for Passing Game
Most Important Offensive Player: Nate Chandler
Most Important Defensive Player: Antoine Cason
Fantasy Stud: Cam Newton
Fantasy Dud: Graham Gano
Fantasy Sleeper: Kelvin Benjamin

Atlanta Falcons
Power Rank: 18
Projected Wins: 7.5
Projected Losses: 8.5
Offensive Rank: 8
Defensive Rank: 25
Division Standing: 3
2013 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 6
Projected 2014 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Playoff Probabilities: 19.6%
Super Bowl Win%: 0.4%
Biggest Strength: Explosive Passing Offense (especially at home)
Greatest Weakness: Lack of Pass Rush (really, everything besides pass offense is questionable)
Most Important Offensive Player: Julio Jones
Most Important Defensive Player: Desmond Trufant
Fantasy Stud: Julio Jones
Fantasy Dud: Defense
Fantasy Sleeper: Levine Toiolo

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Power Rank: 22
Projected Wins: 7.1
Projected Losses: 8.9
Offensive Rank: 26
Defensive Rank: 13
Division Standing: 4
2013 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 6
Projected 2014 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 4
Playoff Probabilities: 16.5%
Super Bowl Win%: 0.2%
Biggest Strength: Coaching and Quarterback Turnover (for the better)
Greatest Weakness: Offensive Line
Most Important Offensive Player: Josh McCown
Most Important Defensive Player: Alterraun Verner
Fantasy Stud: Vincent Jackson
Fantasy Dud: Brandon Myers
Fantasy Sleeper: Josh McCown

See: How This Works, Season Summary and Division Previews: AFC East, AFC North, AFC West, AFC South, NFC East, NFC North, NFC West and NFC South

NFC West Preview



Seattle Seahawks
Power Rank: 2
Projected Wins: 11.1
Projected Losses: 4.9
Offensive Rank: 15
Defensive Rank: 1
Division Standing: 1
2013 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 8
Projected 2014 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 7
Playoff Probabilities: 85.2%
Super Bowl Win%: 22.6%
Biggest Strength: Everything Except…
Greatest Weakness: Offensive Line
Most Important Offensive Player: Russell Okung
Most Important Defensive Player: Byron Maxwell
Fantasy Stud: Defense
Fantasy Dud: Tight Ends
Fantasy Sleeper: Christine Michael

San Francisco 49ers
Power Rank: 4
Projected Wins: 9.1
Projected Losses: 6.9
Offensive Rank: 12
Defensive Rank: 8
Division Standing: 2
2013 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 7
Projected 2014 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 7
Playoff Probabilities: 47.9%
Super Bowl Win%: 4.0%
Biggest Strength: Elite Front Office Decision Making
Greatest Weakness: Age, Health and Off Field Concerns (Primarily on Defense)
Most Important Offensive Player: Michael Crabtree
Most Important Defensive Player: NaVorro Bowman
Fantasy Stud: Vernon Davis
Fantasy Dud: Stevie Johnson
Fantasy Sleeper: Carlos Hyde

Arizona Cardinals
Power Rank: 7
Projected Wins: 8.3
Projected Losses: 7.7
Offensive Rank: 18
Defensive Rank: 6
Division Standing: 3
2013 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 8
Projected 2014 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 8
Playoff Probabilities: 27.7%
Super Bowl Win%: 1.1%
Biggest Strength: Young, Playmaking Secondary
Greatest Weakness: Age Concerns at All Other Positions (Plus Elite division)
Most Important Offensive Player: Jared Veldheer
Most Important Defensive Player: Tyrann Mathieu
Fantasy Stud: Andre Ellington
Fantasy Dud: Tight Ends
Fantasy Sleeper: John Brown

St. Louis Rams
Power Rank: 16
Projected Wins: 7.2
Projected Losses: 8.8
Offensive Rank: 25
Defensive Rank: 5
Division Standing: 4
2013 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 9
Projected 2014 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 9
Playoff Probabilities: 15.6%
Super Bowl Win%: 0.4%
Biggest Strength: League's Best Defensive Line
Greatest Weakness: Quarterback
Most Important Offensive Player: Sam Bradford
Most Important Defensive Player: Janoris Jenkins
Fantasy Stud: Defense
Fantasy Dud: Wide Receivers (stay away for now)
Fantasy Sleeper: Benny Cunningham

See: How This Works, Season Summary and Division Previews: AFC East, AFC North, AFC West, AFC South, NFC East, NFC North, NFC West and NFC South

NFL Preview Pages:

Over/Under Win Total Picks
Futures Picks
Projected Scores (All 256 Regular Season Games)
In-Depth Team Analysis
NFL Team Rankings
Fantasy Football Projections and Rankings
Positional Cheat Sheets and Week-by-Week Fantasy Projections
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10/20/2014 Highlight: Using the ResultsFinder for the Week of October 13 - 19, one could find that all playable NFL against-the-spread picks went 9-2 (82% ATS). This includes the Week 7 NFL Lock of the Week, Arizona (-3.5) at Oakland that covered in a 24-13 win. The College Football Lock of the Week, Michigan State (-14) at Indiana, also covered the spread. Football Locks of the Week are 5-1 (83% ATS) in the last three weeks and are 102-58 (64% ATS) since the site launched in 2010.

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And with the season starting in less than a week, highlighted, "normal" or better Over/Under Season Win Total Picks in the NBA are 24-13 (65% O/U) all-time. Meanwhile, for the 2013-14 NBA season, "normal" or better full game and halftime picks generated a $4,311 profit for a normal $50 player using play value recommendations, including hitting 59% on normal over/under plays.

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For Week 8 in the NFL, there are a total of 11 games with a playable against-the-spread pick, including three predicted outright upsets. See the Green Bay Packers @ New Orleans Saints and more.

College Picks - Week 9
For Week 9 in the College Football, there are a total of ten plays that cover the spread greater than 57% of the time to be considered "normal" or better, including three picks that cover more than 60% of the time and two predicted outright upsets. See West Virginia @ Oklahoma State and more.

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