New User? Sign Up / Forgot Your Password?
All Live
    All Live Projections

    NFL Trends Week 17 (12/23/14)

    By John Ewing Director of Research and Analytics @johnewing
    NFL Week 17 betting trends utilizing the Trend Machine.

    There is incredible power in understanding history. Though not predictive in nature, understanding how teams, players, leagues and markets have reacted to various scenarios for over 35 years and more than 9,000 games - as is the case with the information available in the Trend Machine for the NFL - is a tremendous supplement to any analysis of an upcoming matchup.

    Each week we will provide trends for the upcoming NFL games, some will be team specific, others situational – how often a team covers against-the-spread after covering three games in a row.

    Interested in additional trends? Check out the Trend Machine!

    Week 17 – Situational Trends

    All-time, home favorites in Week 17 are: 135-109-5 (55% ATS).

    • Games Matching this Criteria: Falcons (-3.5) vs. Panthers, Ravens (-9) vs. Browns, Broncos (-14.5) vs. Raiders, Packers (-7.5) vs. Lions, Texans (-10) vs. Jaguars, Chiefs (-2.5) vs. Chargers, Dolphins (-5.5) vs. Jets, Vikings (-7) vs. Bears, Patriots (-10.5) vs. Bills, Giants (-2.5) vs. Eagles, Steelers (-3) vs. Bengals, Seahawks (-13) vs. Rams, and 49ers (-5.5) vs. Cardinals.

    All-time, home dogs in Week 17 are: 72-55-1 (57% ATS).

    • Games Matching this Criteria: Buccaneers (+4) vs. Saints, Titans (+7) vs. Colts and Redskins (+6.5) vs. Cowboys.

    All-time, teams last played on Saturday and are away underdogs are: 73-96-4 (43% ATS).

    • Games Matching this Criteria: Eagles (+2.5) @ Redskins and Chargers (+2.5) @ Chiefs.

    NFL Trends – Week 17
    Note: In our data "All-time" goes back to 1978 or when the team joined the league.

    Team Spread Trend
    ATL -3.5 vs. CAR A win against Carolina clinches the NFC South, in the Matt Ryan era, the Falcons as home favorites are 35-8 (81%) straight-up.
    AZ +5.5 @ SF Arizona needs a win and Seattle loss to clinch NFC West, all-time the Cardinals as road dogs are 58-186-1 (24%) straight-up.
    BAL -9 vs. CLE Baltimore needs a win to keep playoff hopes alive, in Joe Flacco era, the Ravens as a seven or more point favorite are 28-3 (90%) straight-up.
    BUF +10.5 @ NE All-time, the Bills as double-digit dogs in Foxborough are 7-4 (64% ATS).
    CAR +3.5 @ ATL In the Cam Newton era, the Panthers as road dogs are 13-8-1 (62% ATS) and have won nearly half of the games outright (9-12-1 straight-up).
    CHI +7 @ MIN All-time, the Bears as road dogs of seven or more points against the NFC North are 14-10-1 (58% ATS).
    CIN +3 @ PIT Cincinnati can clinch a playoff spot with a win, in the Andy Dalton era, the Bengals on the road against the AFC North are 4-7 (36%) straight-up.
    CLE +9 @ BAL The Browns have not been a dog of a touchdown or more since last year, all-time Cleveland is 60-50-2 (55% ATS) in such games.
    DAL -6.5 @ WAS All-time, as road favorites, the Cowboys are 66-82-1 (45% ATS).
    DEN -14.5 vs. OAK Denver can clinch a bye with a win, in the Peyton Manning era, the Broncos as double-digit favorites are 15-1 (94%) straight-up.
    DET +7.5 @ GB Detroit clinches NFC North with a win, in Matthew Stafford era, the Lions as dogs of seven or more points are 0-4 straight-up and ATS.
    GB -7.5 vs. DET Green Bay clinches NFC North with win, in the Aaron Rodgers era, the Packers as home favorites of seven or more points are 28-4 (88%) straight-up.
    HOU -10 vs. JAX Houston needs a win plus help to make playoffs, all-time as a favorite of seven or more points the Texans are 18-6 (75%) straight-up.
    IND -7 @ TEN The last ten road favorites in Tennessee all won and went 7-2-1 (78% ATS).
    JAX +10 @ HOU In the last ten years following a win, the Jaguars are 32-40 (44% ATS).
    KC -2.5 vs. SD Kansas City makes the playoffs with a win and help, all-time the Chiefs as home favorites in December are 32-10 (76%) straight-up.
    MIA -5.5 vs. NYJ All-time, the Dolphins as home favorites in December are 29-43-1 (40% ATS).
    MIN -7 vs. CHI The last time Minnesota was favored by a touchdown or more was 2010, all-time the Vikings are 33-55-4 (38% ATS) in those scenarios.
    NE -10.5 vs. BUF In the Tom Brady era, the Patriots as favorites of 10 or more points against the AFC East are 7-13 (35% ATS).
    NO -4 @ TB The Saints are 3-7 ATS in their last ten games as road favorites.
    NYG -2.5 vs. PHI Since 2005, the Eli Manning era, the Giants as home favorites against the Eagles are 2-6 (25% ATS).
    NYJ +5.5 @ MIA The Jets struggle to win on the road, New York is just 2-8 straight-up in its last ten road games.
    OAK +14.5 @ DEN Since 2002, road dogs of 10 or more points are 192-156-5 (55% ATS).
    PHI +2.5 @ NYG All-time, as a road dog against the New York Giants, the Eagles are 16-12 (57% ATS).
    PIT -3 vs. CIN Pittsburgh clinches AFC North with a win, in the Ben Roethlisberger era, the Steelers as home favorites are 61-21 (74%) straight-up.
    SD +2.5 @ KC San Diego clinches a playoff spot with win at Kansas City, in the Philip Rivers era, the Chargers as road dogs are 18-19 straight-up.
    SEA -13 vs. STL Seattle can clinch the No. 1 seed in the NFC with a win, in the Russell Wilson era, the Seahawks as double-digit home favorites are 9-1 straight-up.
    SF -5.5 vs. AZ The 49ers are 7-2-1 straight-up at home in its last ten games against the NFC West but 4-5-1 ATS in those games.
    STL +13 @ SEA In the Russell Wilson era, road dogs of 10 or more points in Seattle are 5-4-1 (56% ATS).
    TB +4 vs. NO Since 2002, when the NFL expanded to 32 teams, the Buccaneers as home dogs are 14-23-2 (38% ATS).
    TEN +7 vs. IND Dating back to 1999, the Titans are 5-1 ATS following a game on Thursday Night Football.
    WAS +6.5 vs. DAL All-time, as a home dog against Dallas, the Redskins are 11-6 (65% ATS).

    Print This Article
    NFL Playoff Scenarios (12/23/14)
    GameChangers Week 16 (12/22/14)
    Want More Tips and Information? Click To Register!





    The Predictalator

    The Predictalator is the most advanced sports forecasting software available today because it has the ability to account for all of the relevant statistical interactions of the players, coaches, officials, home field advantage and weather in each game.

    Picks for every game, including our Play Value Key and Calculator recommendations for optimal bankroll management and access to the Play Analyzer can be purchased in the Shop or by game here.

    03/13/2017 Highlight: Using our ResultsFinder tool, it's evident that the Predictalator is entering March Madness in incredible form. The Predictalator posted 59 "normal" or better plays in March (plays with greater than 57% confidence) and went a stellar 36-23 (61.0%) on those plays. An average $50 bettor would have profited $678 using our recommended wager sizes. After posting an outstanding 8-1 (88.9%) ATS record on "normal" or better sides in last year's NCAA Tournament, the Predictalator looks poised to produce more NCAA Tournament winners.

    NBA predictions continue to follow the same heat wave of college hoops, as all playable sides are 30-25 (54.5%) ATS in the month of March. More importantly, top plays continue to produce at a staggering clip, with all "normal" or better sides off to a solid 9-3 (75.0%) ATS mark in March, producing $284 in profits for an average $50 bettor.

    The Predictalator's NHL picks continue to cash in consistenly as "normal" or better ML and PL plays are an outstanding 32-18 (64.0%) on the season, amassing $507 in total profits. While the betting market has really tightened up with NHL in recent months, the Predictalator continues to find success and is now 449-367 (55.0%) on all playable ML and PL plays this season.

    Check out the Shop now to learn more.

    Recommended Features



    College Basketball Picks - Friday Games
    The Predictalator has played all of Thursday's NCAA Tournament games 50,000 times to analyze chances of each team winning relative to the spread and over/under. See UNC vs. Butler and more.

    A.L. MVP & Cy Young Odds
    Frank Brank explores the odds for A.L. MVP and A.L. Cy Young Awards posted at and gives a breakdown of the top contenders.



    All registered accounts are subject to our General Terms Of Service. Content is intended for informational purposes only. This is not a gambling website.

    FSTA Member 2015
    Home | The Predictalator | Blog | Privacy |  Media Contact |  B2B Solutions |  Sitemap |  Customer Support | 
    © 2010-2015, LLC. All rights reserved. | Site Designed by