Heisman Odds (05/28/13)

John Ewing, Director of Research and Analytics

A look at the top contenders for the 2013-2014 Heisman Trophy. Lines courtesy of Bovada.lv.

The Heisman Memorial Trophy Award is given annually to the most outstanding player in college football. According to oddsmakers there are 22 players currently vying for the honor. Of those players 13 are quarterbacks and they represent the top four most likely winners.

The SEC has the most players listed with odds at six. The SEC is followed by the Pac 12 - 5, Big 10 - 4, ACC - 4, Big 12 - 2, and Big East - 1. Alabama, Miami, Nebraska, and Oregon all have two players listed with odds. Below we look at a few of the favorites and what winning would mean to the history of the award.

Johnny Manziel – 17/4 odds

The favorite to win this year’s award, Manziel would be only the second player ever to win the award twice. Manziel threw 26 touchdown passes and rushed for 21 touchdowns last season accounting for 70% of Texas A&M’s total offense.

T.J. Yeldon – 12/1 odds

42 running backs have won the Heisman, most of any position. However, Yeldon is looking to become only the second back (Mark Ingram Jr. in 2009) to win the award in the last ten years. Yeldon rushed for over 1,100 yards as a freshman. The scary part is that he did that as a backup; this season he will be the featured back.

Marquis Lee – 12/1 odds

Desmond Howard won the Heisman in 1991, he was the last wide receiver honored with the award. Lee has the best odds of any receiver to end the drought at the position.

Jadeveon Clowney – 14/1 odds

The defensive end for South Carolina could become the first defensive player to win the Heisman since Charles Woodson in 1997. It is hits like this against Michigan that have Gamecocks fans excited.

Everett Golson – odds not available

Johnny Manziel was not on the radar when last season’s Heisman Trophy odds first came out. Nonetheless, a stellar campaign highlighted by an upset win over Alabama made Johnny Football the favorite to win the trophy going into the bowl season. Just as winners can emerge so to can favorites fade.

Golson was recently dismissed from the Notre Dame football team but prior to his leaving he had 25/1 odds to win the Heisman. With Golson suspended for the fall semester the Irish’s BCS Title odds went from 28/1 to 40/1.

2013-2014 Heisman Trophy Odds courtesy of Bovada.lv.

Player School Position Odds
Johnny Manziel Texas A&M QB 17/4
Braxton Miller Ohio State QB 13/2
AJ McCarron Alabama QB 9/1
Aaron Murray Georgia QB 12/1
Marquis Lee USC WR 12/1
TJ Yeldon Alabama RB 12/1
Teddy Bridgewater Louisville QB 12/1
De'Anthony Thomas Oregon RB 14/1
Duke Johnson Miami RB 14/1
Jadeveon Clowney South Carolina DE 14/1
Tajh Boyd Clemson QB 16/1
Marcus Mariota Oregon QB 16/1
Taylor Martinez Nebraska QB 18/1
Lache Seastrunk Baylor RB 20/1
Ameer Abdullah Nebraska RB 25/1
Brett Hundley UCLA QB 25/1
Stephen Morris Miami QB 25/1
Devin Gardner Michigan QB 33/1
Blake Bell Oklahoma QB 40/1
Jeff Driskel Florida QB 40/1
Ka'Deem Carey Arizona RB 40/1
Stefon Diggs Maryland WR 40/1

 

Comments

Search Blogs

Keyword:

Archive

Ad

The Predictalator

The Predictalator is the most advanced sports forecasting software available today because it has the ability to account for all of the relevant statistical interactions of the players (playing or not playing/injured), coaches, officials, fans (home field advantage) and weather in each game.

04/14/2014 Highlight: Using the ResultsFinder for the week of April 7th - 13th, one could find that all highlighted, MLB "normal" or better picks went 26-19 (58% ML, O/U, RL). This includes "normal" over/under picks going 10-4 (71% O/U). All-time (since the start of the 2012 season), all normal over/under MLB plays are 270-212 (56% O/U).

As the regular season concludes, NBA plays are heating up. All normal plays for the week in the NBA went 7-4 (64% ATS & O/U). Total picks continue to be strong, going 4-2 (67% O/U) with "normal" picks last week. Such "normal" plays are 43-32 (57% O/U) since the beginning of the year in the NBA.

The Predictalator plays every game 50,000 times before it's actually played. This provides us the ability to assign probabilities to the likelihood of just about any outcome occurring in any contest including straight-up, against-the-spread and over/under winners of each game.

Ad
Ad