New User? Sign Up / Forgot Your Password?
All Live
Projections
    All Live Projections

    2013 Home Run Derby (07/10/13)

    John Ewing, Director of Research and Analytics
    By John Ewing

    Chris Davis and Bryce Harper headline the Home Run Derby but who is the favorite to win? Odds courtesy of Bovada.lv.

    Updates

    “Since Chris Davis hit his 37th Home Run last night we have been seeing increased action on him overnight and throughout the day and have now made him the favorite to win the Derby tonight at 11/4. Defending champ Prince Fielder, comes next at 15/4 in terms of money being put down while Michael Cuddyer has drifted to 12-1 and we cannot write a bet on him.”

    Kevin Bradley, Sportsbook Manager, Bovada.lv

    • Chris Davis is now the favorite to win the Derby after blasting a home run in each of his last four games. 
    • Carlos Gonzalez has dropped out of the contest due to a sprain in his right middle finger.
    • CarGo is being replaced by Pedro Alvarez, 2nd in HRs in the NL, tied with the third best odds to win.

    Everyone digs the long ball. The MLB Home Run Derby drew 6.9 million viewers last year, +3% increase from the 2011 Derby. Social media has pushed the popularity of the event as #HRDerby trended worldwide throughout last year’s contest. Here is a quick look at the power hitters participating in this year’s Derby and then each player’s odds to blast the most home runs.

    A note from Paul: With high juice (28.4% in total) and low limits it is not necessarily a wise move to bet on this prop.

    American League

    Robinson Cano: The AL captain is looking to rebound after getting booed in last year’s Derby. Cano hit zero homers and snubbed Kansas City favorite Billy Butler.

    Chris Davis: MLB-leading 33 home runs, on pace for 60, pretty much says it all.

    Prince Fielder: Won the event in 2009 and 2012, both in the state of Missouri. Unfortunately for Fielder this year’s event is not taking place in the Show Me State.

    Yoenis Cespedes: Just the fourth player not chosen for the All-Star game to compete in the Home Run Derby. The others were Rafael Palmeiro (2004), Hee-Seop Choi (2005) and Ryan Howard (2007).

    National League

    David Wright: The NL captain, does not normally tally the number of home runs associated with the Derby but in 2006 Wright hit 16 dingers in Round 1 before losing to Ryan Howard in the finals.

    Bryce Harper: Won the fan vote for the Home Run Derby, will be the second youngest participant, Ken Griffey Jr. was younger in his 1990 appearance by 39 days.

    Carlos Gonzalez: Leads the NL in home runs. Some might say this is due to playing in Coors Field but Gonzalez has actually hit more home runs on the road this season.  

    Michael Cuddyer: Had a 27-game hitting streak but this is a bit of a buddy pick as Wright and Cuddyer played AAU ball growing up. 

    Home Run Derby Odds, courtesy of Bovada.lv.

    Player Original Odds Current Odds
    Chris Davis (BAL)  15/4 11/4
    Prince Fielder (DET)  7/2 15/4
    Bryce Harper (WSH)  5/1 11/2
    Pedro Alvarez (PIT) N/A 11/2
    Yoenis Cespedes (OAK)  11/2 11/2
    Robinson Cano (NYY)  11/2 6/1
    David Wright (NYM)  15/2 9/1
    Michael Cuddyer (COL)  9/1 12/1
    Carlos Gonzalez (COL)  15/2 N/A

     

    Print This Article
    PREVIOUS ARTICLE
    MLB Trade deadline props (07/11/2013
    NEXT ARTICLE
    Three Up Three Down (7/1/13)
    Want More Tips and Information? Click To Register!

    COMMENTS

    SEARCH BLOGS

    ARCHIVE

    Ad

    The Predictalator

    The Predictalator is the most advanced sports forecasting software available today because it has the ability to account for all of the relevant statistical interactions of the players, coaches, officials, home field advantage and weather in each game.

    9/15/2014 Highlight: Using the ResultsFinder for the Week of September 8-14, one could find that all playable NFL Week 2 against-the-spread plays, led by our Lock of the Week (Houston -3, which covered by two touchdowns) went 7-6 (54% ATS), while all playable halftime sides went 8-4 (67% ATS). In college football's Week 3, all playable picks for the week went 43-31 (58% ATS and O/U). In the last two weeks, all playable college football picks are 77-54 (59% ATS and O/U). Baseball picks continue to cash as all highlighted, "normal" MLB plays went 10-7 (59% ML, O/U, and RL). In the last two weeks all normal MLB plays are 16-10 (62% ML, O/U, and RL).

    Recommended Features

    LOGIN

    LATEST ARTICLES

    NFL Picks - Week 2
    For Week 2 in the NFL, every game on Sunday and Monday has a playable against-the-spread opinion, including 13 plays highlighted as "half-bet" or better picks.

    NFL GameChangers - Week 2
    GameChangers, we use our in-game technology to review the game-changing plays from the NFL and what the game would have looked like if the plays had turned out differently.

    FIND US ONLINE


    Statistical Information Provided by: SportsData © 2012

    All registered accounts are subject to our General Terms Of Service. Content is intended for informational purposes only. This is not a gambling website.
    Home | The Predictalator | Features | Privacy |  Customer Support |  Media Contact |  Sitemap |  Job Opportunities
    © 2010-2014 PredictionMachine.com, LLC. All rights reserved. | Site Designed by Randombell.com